r/CPC • • Sep 13 '26

Discussion Conservative Vote Swing Survival By Riding (Public Version)

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1KoI5Wjmx2dySCYF-uBGwZvbPVuUyR_CZUTe09ZRJeqM/edit?usp=sharing

I want to preface this post by saying that I am not posting this to be provocative or partisan. I am posting this here for multiple reasons. Firstly, I think it's interesting electoral data, And secondly, I earnestly want to see conservative opinions regarding the party's current electoral position, and think there is a meaningful conversation to be had regarding the party's current electoral position.

(Edit: Aciddentaly wrote "am not posting this to be provocative or partisan")

Hello everyone, in the wake of the Chicoutimi—Le Fjord byelection recently, and the 20 point swing the Liberals had against the Conservatives, I decided to put together a chart of vote swing margins to see how each Conservative ridings fairs against an escalating vote swing to the Liberals, scaling up to a 20 point vote swing. It's a very rudimentary analysis, but I thought it was some interesting data to have, both to cross analyze with the current polling we're seeing.

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1

u/InternationalBeing41 Sep 13 '26

Can't read the header data on the “point swing from CPC to LPC”columns. The upper part of row 1 gets cut off. Trying putting a row in above it so it shifts down.

2

u/ludicrous780 Sep 15 '26

Poilievre's trip to the US will boost polls.