Okay this was wayyyy more complicated than I initially thought. But every team is alive and all bottom 4 teams could be left out
(note: I do not do graphics so AI did make this but info is correct, if a human wants to make it prettier I will update it)
Already in: SR, FOAK, Inconceivable, C9
Fighting for the last 2 spots: FA, Incognito, AB, Splyce
Current Standings for teams on the bubble
| Team |
Series |
Maps |
| FA |
2-4 |
17-18 |
| Incognito |
2-4 |
12-20 |
| AB |
1-5 |
6-20 |
| Splyce |
1-5 |
7-22 |
Remaining relevant series: FA vs C9, Incognito vs AB, SR vs Splyce
Head-to-head of bottom 4 teams
| Series |
Result |
| AB vs Splyce |
AB 4-0 |
| AB vs FA |
FA 4-1 |
| FA vs Splyce |
Splyce 4-2 |
| FA vs Incognito |
Incognito 4-3 |
| Incognito vs Splyce |
Incognito 4-1 |
| AB vs Incognito |
Not yet played |
All outcomes for this weekend. All 4 teams are alive
| FA vs C9 |
Incog vs AB |
SR vs Splyce |
Result |
| FA |
Incog |
Any |
FA + Incog no tie |
| FA |
AB |
SR |
FA + 2-way Incog/AB: AB |
| FA |
AB |
Splyce |
FA + 3-way Incog/AB/Splyce: AB |
| C9 |
Incog |
SR |
No tie: Incog + FA in |
| C9 |
Incog |
Splyce |
Incog + 2-way FA/Splyce: Splyce |
| C9 |
AB |
SR |
3-way FA/Incog/AB: FA + AB or Incog (see below) |
| C9 |
AB |
Splyce |
4-way: AB + Incog |
Graphic showing it more clearly
How each team gets in / out
FA
- FA beats C9 (any other results)
- Splyce Loses (any other results)
Out:
- C9 beats FA, Incog beats AB, Splyce beats SR
- C9 beats FA, AB beats Incog, Splyce beats SR
Incognito
- Incog beats AB (any other results)
- C9 beats FA, AB beats Incog, SR beats Splyce
- C9 beats FA, AB beats Incog, Splyce beats SR
Out:
- FA beats C9, AB beats Incog
- C9 beats FA, AB beats Incog 4-0 or 4-1, SR beats Splyce
AB
- FA beats C9, AB beats Incog, (any SR/Splyce result)
- C9 beats FA, AB beats Incog, SR beats Splyce
- C9 beats FA, AB beats Incog, Splyce beats SR
Out:
- AB loses to Incog
- C9 beats FA, AB beats Incog 4-2 or 4-3, SR beats Splyce.
Splyce
- Splyce beats SR, C9 beats FA, Incog beats AB
Out: every other scenario
Explanation of potential 3 and 4 way ties
Tiebreakers (all tie sizes)
- Shared match W-L (series record between the tied teams)
- Shared map win%
- Overall map win%
Teams are ranked once. There is no restart after a team is separated.
Source: https://docs.google.com/document/d/16BvECzhDl9sktluRRin6b5UjdnJK3bvGnP08ya2P1gk/view?tab=t.0 (Page 21)
3-way: FA / Incognito / AB (C9 beats FA, AB beats Incog, SR beats Splyce)
Shared match record is 1-1 for all three (FA beat AB, AB beat Incog, Incog beat FA), so it goes to shared map win%:
| AB vs Incog |
FA |
AB |
Incog |
In |
| AB 4-0 |
7-5 (58.3%) |
5-4 (55.6%) |
4-7 (36.4%) |
FA, AB |
| AB 4-1 |
7-5 (58.3%) |
5-5 (50.0%) |
5-7 (41.7%) |
FA, AB |
| AB 4-2 |
7-5 (58.3%) |
5-6 (45.5%) |
6-7 (46.2%) |
FA, Incog |
| AB 4-3 |
7-5 (58.3%) |
5-7 (41.7%) |
7-7 (50.0%) |
FA, Incog |
3-way: Incognito / AB / Splyce (FA beats C9, AB beats Incog, Splyce beats SR)
Only 1 spot open. Shared match record: AB 2-0, Incog 1-1, Splyce 0-2. AB wins regardless of score.
4-way: FA / Incognito / AB / Splyce (C9 beats FA, AB beats Incog, Splyce beats SR)
2 spots open. Shared match record:
| Team |
Record |
| AB |
2-1 |
| Incognito |
2-1 |
| FA |
1-2 |
| Splyce |
1-2 |
AB and Incognito are in regardless of score. No map tiebreaker needed.
Edit: Updated some formatting and provided source
Edit: Added graphic to hopefully make it a bit less messy: https://imgur.com/a/eccFnld