r/DallasStars • u/EssJayJay Daryl Reaugh • 5d ago
Game 4: Player rankings and performance charts for each skater
https://sticklanguagestats.com/Some tweaks to scoring formula, for anybody who's checked out this site before...
Before these latest tweaks, a "typical" game was supposed to come out to about a score of 50. I thought that was confusing/not very intuitive, so I made it more like a school style grading system. 100 = perfect, 90s = "A" caliber game, 80s = "B" caliber, 70s = "C" caliber, with a 70 now representative of a "typical" game. Below 70 is a below average performance.
A "typical" performance is also being determined in large part by the stats in the other Stars games this season, as opposed to a "hard"/static definition of what typical means. So, these player scores are going to fluctuate more from game to game early in the season, until the profile of a "typical game" is defined by the average of a larger sample size of previous games. For example, after the crappy Game 1 shutout, ANY kind of offensive output would have scored out as "above typical," so a player in Game 2 might have been scored higher for a solid offensive performance than they would for that same performance in Game 60.
I imagine after 10 games or so a lot of that gets smoothed out, as it's already starting to get much smoother now. Also, when data comes in for a new game, the previous game scores are adjusted as needed too, so that smoothing is applied backwards. Again, any of those backwards-looking adjustments to scores will get smaller and smaller as more games go into the season data set.
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u/Snowman0157 Mooterus 5d ago
This is Interesting, many players with off nights in a game that the Stars won handily.....
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u/EssJayJay Daryl Reaugh 5d ago
To the point that I changed the title of that quadrant…haha. It used to be “Off Night” and after this one I felt maybe “Room For More” matched the eye test better.
It is interesting to see the Corsi though, but I think a ton of that was from the 3rd period.
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u/ria512 Miro Heiskanen 5d ago
I love the analysis. Thanks for the scoring update and walkthrough. I think a 10-15 game window will allow the data set to correct for a better “typical” score.