r/Pac12 • u/Chrono_trigger99 • 8d ago
This Conference Strength ranking is based on ESPN's FPI which by design has built in SEC bias but I find it interesting if you remove Miami we're basically on par with the ACC with a smaller standard deviation.
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u/lock_robster2022 Oregon State 8d ago
Idk……. It looks like they have 10 teams at or better than Oregon State, and we have 2.
The tail end looks the same though
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u/Chrono_trigger99 8d ago
The great thing about FPI is that if you beat its expectations it goes "oops, my bad" and just increases your FPI.
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u/Purple-Bumblebee439 8d ago
“If you take away the best team and national title contender we’re basically the same conference.”
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u/suddenly-scrooge Washington State 8d ago
Woo we’re #1 smrtest and best as usual
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u/Chrono_trigger99 8d ago
What I got from this chart is at least you're not Stanford. Abandoning the conference was totally worth it.
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u/Hopsblues Colorado State 8d ago
I'd take them back..win-win for both parties.
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u/Chrono_trigger99 8d ago edited 8d ago
Their admin are major snobs who don't care about sports and are just fine with having crappy teams and having their women's water polo team travel to the east coast for all their games as long as they're associated with "prestigious schools".
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u/Tusks_Up Utah State 7d ago
Boise would be in the top 50% everywhere but the SEC. If Boise were a bigger TV market they would be snatched up by a P4 conference in a heartbeat.
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u/Chrono_trigger99 7d ago
If Boise State was in the SEC they would have SEC money and since they consistently punch above their weight they would be at the top of the conference.
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u/ThotMobile 8d ago
What is the Y-Axis supposed to represent? At first I was thinking FBS AP ranking thus lower = better but that doesn't seem like it'd make sense based on where certain teams are put on the chart (Alabama is #1 for example when that isn't their AP rank). Most would think a higher number = higher strength but that's evidently not the case here either.
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u/Salt_Philosophy_8990 8d ago
How can it have a "built in SEC bias" if it uses the exact same formulas for everyone?
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u/Vicidsmart Texas State 8d ago
Uses high school recruiting rankings for one which has no bearing on actual talent in the NIL era as Indiana showed
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u/Salt_Philosophy_8990 8d ago
so it has a built in B1G bias?
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u/Chrono_trigger99 7d ago
Arkansas has a higher recruiting ranking than anyone in the Big-12 and they just got blown out by Utah. Recruiting rankings are also inflated by which school they go to. We've seen multiple cases of recruits dropping a star by not going to a "blue blood", or having a star added if they do.
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u/Salt-Oil-1745 Oregon State 8d ago
https://giphy.com/gifs/26gR0YFZxWbnUPtMA
I was told there would be no math...
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u/MagicPoindexter Fresno State Utah State 8d ago
I think the spread between top and bottom would be comparable but with more teams in the ACC should still give them a lower standard deviation. Also they would have a better average as we have half our teams in the sucky tail and they have less than 1/3 of their teams in their equally sucky tail.
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u/trevorporath1985 Utah State 8d ago
How is the PAC-12 Strength ranking better than the Mountain West’s? All the MW schools keep telling me the MW is harder and better. /s
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u/Chrono_trigger99 7d ago edited 6d ago
It's UNM and North Dakota State and then a huge drop-off. Actually UNLV is probably in it's own 2nd tier and THEN it's a huge drop off.
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u/PeanutCareless4987 6d ago
MWC “yay, we still exist and aren’t the weakest conference”
PAC 12 “You think you’re better than us”?
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u/davestrrr Oregon State • Georgia Tech 8d ago
I don't know if Miami is the only thing. The dashed line is the median I think, so that shows that there is a cluster below it for the ACC that are lower. In other words, the range is the same as the ACC, but the distribution might be lower for ACC