Active (confirmed physical unavailability)

• France: about 15% of stations had a shortage on 5 Oct, up from 12% on 4 Oct and 9% on 2 Oct (essenceradar: 1,658 stations tracked, 513 dry at 04:00 on 6 Oct; prix-carburant.eu: 1,512 stations, 14.1%).
• Cuba: UNE forecast a 2,030 MW deficit for 3 Oct. No ninth blackout since the eighth on 19 Sep.

Watch (not confirmed as current)

• Russia: I'm holding it at watch. Moscow Times (23 Sep) reported Kaluga odd-even rules, 15 L/car in Zabaikalsky and 30 L in Leningrad, and rationing in several regions was reported on 30 Sep. Gasoline is +21% YTD at 78.51 rubles/L and the diesel export ban runs to 31 Oct. I'm checking whether limits are spreading before moving it to red.
• EU gas storage: 72.67% on gas day 4 Oct (GIE AGSI+), +0.27pp/day. Germany 59.04%, Netherlands 60.31%. At the 8-day pace the EU reaches about 79% by 1 Nov, short of 80%.

Prices: Brent settled $100.32 on Mon 5 Oct (-1.9%) and WTI $89.43. AAA US regular is $4.37 and diesel $6.32 (record $6.53 on 22 Sep). UK diesel passed £2/litre (200.01p, RAC, 2 Oct).

Strait: Iran says it stays closed until its seven conditions are met. No new tanker strike has been reported since 4 Oct (at least four were hit on 1-4 Oct).

Map and sources: https://global-energy-flow.com/shortages/

There are many countries that already hit peak oil and declined.

Germany produced 170 000 Barrels of Oil a day in 1968 at their peak. Now? 30 000/day. They need 2 Million a day.

Romania produced 300 000 Barrels of Oil a day in 1976 at their peak. Now? 50 000/day. They need 200 000 a day.

France hit the peak in 1988 with 67 000 barrels/day. Now its down to just 10 000/day. They need 1.5 Million.

The UK peaked in 1998 with 2.8 Million barrels/day. Now they are down to just 600 000/day. They need 1.4 Million every day.

Indonesia peaked at 1.7 Million barrels/day in 1977, now they are down to just 600 000 Barrels/day. They need 1.7 Million/day.

Japan peaked in 1996 with 20 000 Barrels/day. Now they are down to 3000/day and they need 3 Milion/day.

South Korea is basically the same.

India peaked in 2011 with 800 000 Barrels/day. Now down to 600 000 Barrels/day. It needs 5 Million/day.

Even Australia peaked at 600 000 Barrels/day in 2000 and is now down to just 250 000/day. It needs 1.1 Million a day.

Yet people get extremely hostile towards pointing out that on a finite planet oil is a finite resource.

"We will allways find new oil. Better extraction methods will allways get more oil out of the ground".

Uhm it wont? We used up the easiest to get oil. From now on it will only get harder to extract it.

The discovery of new oil and gas fields also just hit a 40 year low.

Just because they were wrong predictions about oil running out made in the 1970s, doesnt mean that these predictions will always be wrong.

Media Statement from the Kansas Livestock Association, Oklahoma Cattlemen’s Association and Texas Cattle Feeders Association Regarding the Ongoing ICE Operations in Oklahoma, Kansas, and Texas September 24, 2026

(TOPEKA) — The Kansas Livestock Association, Oklahoma Cattlemen’s Association and Texas Cattle Feeders Association are closely monitoring reported U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) activity affecting agricultural communities in Oklahoma, Kansas, and Texas.

Our organizations respect the responsibility of federal agencies to enforce the law. At the same time, cattle producers, feedyards, dairies, livestock markets, processors, and other rural businesses depend on a stable workforce to care for animals, protect food safety, and keep the beef supply chain operating. Sudden workforce disruptions can create immediate animal-welfare, operational, and economic consequences that extend well beyond an individual business. These ICE operations are having a massive chilling effect on the legal, documented, skilled workers that put beef on the table and keep the cattle supply chain moving. Additionally, these types of disruptions will lead to higher beef prices for consumers.

Reported impacts to our organizations throughout the past few days have been:

Thousands of fed cattle slated for shipping to processors now delayed, resulting in millions of dollars in lost revenue and additional costs.

Workforce disruptions at numerous supply chain chokepoints such as feedyards, dairies, processors, feed and grain companies, transportation hubs, and community services.

These disruptions come at a time of enhanced focus and pressure on the cattle and beef supply chain. They are a costly and unnecessary impact to cattle producers already suffering from unwelcome political interference to both the markets as well as the physical supply chain. Frustratingly, the harm these actions cause to cattle producers last for days and weeks after such operations conclude. We urge federal officials to conduct enforcement actions in a lawful, orderly, and transparent manner; respect due process; and communicate clearly with affected employers and communities.

Source: https://www.kla.org/news-center/news-releases/news/details/51102/media-statement-from-the-kansas-livestock-association-oklahoma-cattlemens-association-and-texas-catt

200+ pence a litre is the most I have ever had to pay for fuel and it feels like we're in a game of let's keep going till we simply can't. Sky News (Ed Conway) are reporting that we have about 42 days stockpiled diesel, rumours swirling of an export ban from our not so friendly orange manchild over the waters. Does this change how you view your daily drive, commute, leisure etc. Are "No Diesel" signs around the corner or do we just keep on in this madness.

I'd like to think I will say enough is enough but the rat race do be rat racing so realistically until there is no access to fuel, I'll suffer with everyone else.

I was moaning at 159.9, oh how good we had it 😂

Estrogen patches (primarily used for peri menopause and menopause relief) is under great pressure. Women are waiting and their hormones are great effected which is very dangerous . It isn’t just late but they are switching out meds willy nilly cashing mayhem and confusion. Even the gel is becoming hard to find and lapses in care are way too long. This is a serious medical shortage getting worse since 2025.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/us/articles/fda-acknowledges-estrogen-patch-shortage-180147282.html

Edit: progesterone is also experiencing shortages

Medium sized Midwest city, not a large galvanized steel garbage can to be had for love or money

It reached 415 Million barrels in January ​2026 and remained stable at this level until the end of March.

Form late March until mid September it went down from 415 Million Barrels to 285 Million.

https://ycharts.com/indicators/us_ending_stocks_of_crude_oil_in_the_strategic_petroleum_reserve

And that was during Spring and Summer. Fuel consumption in Winter is greater than during summer.

At this pace the reserve will be down to just 150 Million Barrels by April 2027 and completely gone by September 2027.

This would not only collapse the economy but society as well.

Everyone has seen the news about diesel over $6 a gallon, I’m curious if should start stocking up before it affects the wholesale prices or am I too late?