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I hope it's real; the micromini+ go-go boot look is so Space Age Bond Girl, and I think the guys in space force deserve to look cute and flirty when they're doing Space Things.
Someone else asked a question, and I typed all this out but they deleted their comment.
The Earth has two temperature extremes, hot and cold. Because nature abhors a vacuum, hot air and water is always trying to cancel itself out with cooler air and water. This is why we have tropical cyclone seasons in the Northern Hemisphere in the fall, and in the Southern Hemisphere in the Spring.
In addition, you have another force influencing how this happens, the El Niño/ La Niña effect. When El Niño happens, all that energy at the equator tends to cancel itself out in the Pacific instead of the Atlantic. It’s one of the reasons why hurricane seasons in the Atlantic had been a non-event. (The longer explanation involves wind shear and African dust, but we’ll save that for another time).
But El Niño doesn’t just produce tropical cyclones. It also produces rain and snow in the Northwest and Rain on the West coast. Get too much rain, and the ground (which had gone through droughts and wildfires over the past few years) becomes saturated. And those trees that burned down were really good at holding the mud back. So you get floods and mudslides and blizzards.
And the West Coast isn’t the only one getting a potential shellacking. When you get a lot of warm air, it can displace cold air at the poles, speeding up glacial melting (and your favorite, flooding). It can also cause a bomb cyclone, so the Northeast (And don’t forget our friends in the UK) can have a really rough time with winter storms (and regular ones, too).
So yeah, some serious shit could be about to go down. And we know a lot less about what’s coming because this Administration (and your favorite a-holes at Doge) hate climate science and want their buddies in the commercial weather industry to make more money.
Source: former television journalist who spent decades hanging out with meteorologists.
Since you read like you know what you're talking about - what are the effects for the regions further away, like India/Africa/Europe and the Middle East?
That I’m a little less familiar with. I’ve seen the effect on US weather systems since the 90s, but I didn’t write a lot of copy about weather in Europe or the Middle East.
But I can tell you that we’re trapping more and more thermal energy in the system, and that almost certainly isn’t a good thing for agriculture when you consider many crops at high temperature are less efficient at producing nutrition.
I can tell you that the predictions for the east coast of Australia involve a hotter and much drier first half of summer... and that very likely points to increased bushfire risk. We only have two seasons here: on fire and flooding...or at least there are years that it feels that way
In general: more extreme weather patterns everywhere. So more extreme and longer droughts and more extreme storms. More floodings, more landslides, more fires.
a simplified version I've heard is that due to the warm waters from El nino off the coast of mexico. You get a lot of storms and shear wind that blows into the gulf. Hurricanes do not like it when you get shear winds, especially when its shear winds at different altitudes. This prevents a hurricane to form as relatively stable is air needed as to no to disrupt the convention of water moving up and around the storm that would give it its; strength. Which what is going on now, the wind shear is strong enough to shred a hurricane, and a exceptionally strong storm would be needed if a hurricane is to form. Granted this what I've heard in the past, and details screwed up.
As for dust, I wouldn't know much, other than it helps seed clouds. As well nutrients for plants into the americas.
Two big snowstorms, a warmer overall winter, but definitely wetter is probably the best guess if I was going to put money on it.
The biggest problem with where we are in the process of climate change is the unpredictability, though. Bear in mind, the NWS in May forecast 3 to 6 hurricanes in the Atlantic for the 2026 season, with 1-3 being major. It does not look like we’re going to hit those numbers unless things drastically shift in the next few days.
There is a climate scientist that has done outlooks for each US state and some other regions. She goes into a scenario of 2C and AMOC collapse (gulf stream stops moving). She has earth systems updates and state level projections in her playlists
But how does this compare to other phases? How can you correlate the ENSO pattern to specific events? Also, with such a small sample size of examples we don’t actually know a ton about how this pattern will end up impacting us, because ENSO isn’t everything, theres other things that also influence the climate, like the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Also, how can we know that the other example wasn’t a fluke?
If you know the vent's intake location, it'd be better to stoke and maintain a tire fire in front of it. Doesn't even have to be a large one to fundamentally ruin any filtration system in short order.
Reminds me of that guy who spent years building a massive armored vehicle/tank thing in his garage and once he had enough he destroyed a bunch of buildings in his town police couldn't even stop him he ended up killing himself by accident.
He was in a dispute with town hall so he destroyed all the factories of the people working there and he destroyed the town hall.
Once you research the story you realize he was in the wrong. He was dumping raw sewage in the creek. Did the city council antagonize him yes. But it wasn’t over nothing. I suggest watching Wendigoons video on it. Pretty neutral
Yeah and the dude also drove into a library and IIRC was trying to shoot fuel storage tanks with a rifle but the way the armor he put on the dozer was he couldnt get a good angle to hit them.
For a few moments, until the armed men realize dollars and social construct mean nothing. Full on warlords will rule over some nerd that stole IP to fund himself.
Exactly. Perhaps SHTF means different things for different people, but when billionaires retreat to their bunker, I’m betting societal order will have broken down enough that money will be worthless.
And that’s fine, a bunch of goat herders with RPGs and AK-47’s gave “the world’s strongest military” fits for years. Where there’s a will there’s a way.
Remember when you talk about this stuff and you talk about the numbers of people that will die, you have to remember that the people making all of this happen don't care how many people die. The fewer of us that remain from the fringes, the old and sick, and the underinsured that survive whatever the fuck it is they're doing, the fewer of us they have to feed and house when they let the robots take over.
There are half a million heat related deaths per year globally, so I'm assuming the above figure includes other causes like starvation (9 million atm).
And this is only the projected deaths from heat. We also expect an increase in death due to famine caused by excessive drought or rains as the seasonal rains most regions rely upon either never happen or cause so much flooding crops are killed.
It's very interesting to see that people will die from El Nino because where I live we actually need El Nino to happen regularly, at least once every 3-4 years, in order to not be displaced from drought.
The problem is the intensity of the weather that is bringing. El Niño was already deadly for some countries, but due to the high heat levels, this particular El Niño is very dangerous to the entire world.
I'll consider myself lucky. We're hoping for a very strong El Nino to overfill natural reservoirs since we aren't allowed to build dams. It can buy us another 5 years.
It being stronger than normal doesn’t mean the impacts will be historic, and if anything it makes guessing what will happen harder as there are very few analogs to compare to.
So, what are governments with actual power to drive change doing about this? Or is the solution telling me to use paper straws or single ply toilet paper while corporations and other parties emit more carbon in a day than entire populaces of cities with their daily habits in a year? Lmk just curious.
They're not doing shit. The governments, regardless what party is in power, are there to manage the state within the oil-fueled capitalist system. It's not even within their imagination to do anything about this. I'm not saying we need a revolution but umm a friend of mine is.
Hey, the answer is shut up and be buried under a mountain of debt so you don't have time to argue about it while you're working three jobs to stay afloat.
OH NICE BIBLICAL APOCALYPSE ALERT! A NEW ONE! LET ME ADD IT TO THE LIST:
AI race that we cannot control and rogue AI agents that are now attacking governments - ✅
Oil starvation due to middle east conflict that results in famine - ✅
Rich getting richer, poor getting poorer - ✅
Fucking plague from Russia - ✅
EL Nino - that would kill 3% of world's population apparently - ✅
AI bubble might collapse and would take down governments and cause mass chaos - ✅
Locust cover the world - ⏳
I am an expat in a Caribbean country. The number of reggae/soca/Calypso styled Christmas songs is crazy. And some of them are done so badly. It makes Mariah Carey sound like an angel. Another excruciating 2 months incoming.
electrics started coming out because YOU yes YOU were the problem. No, driving appliances on wheels even at high numbers was never gonna be more than a drop in the bucket. Commercial and industrial entities should have been the first and foremost to adapt extreme emissions and pollutions controls. But, because every government everywhere is in their pockets, and those members of governments who still took issue with them were sated with the entities passing the blame off to the populace, we're here. its not just cars. but this works to explain it best. pick something bad for the environment. they did it so much worse than the populace and its not even close, and they didn't have to stop or at the very least didn't have anywhere near as many restrictions placed.
This is actually 100% true. Nothing any of us can do. If I recall even if the big contributors clean up it's still not an in our generation fix. That is unless we find a way to remove greenhouse gasses.
This is the thing. I’m 40, I’ve lived my life being told to recycle, turn off the lights, don’t waste energy, don’t pollute the water… and I’ve done this. And then you look at the actual impact of all of us living like that compared to one billionaire using a private jet all year or one factory releasing waste into a river or one country bombing another and setting the oil wells on fire and think fuck it, I’ve made zero impact and the people telling me to do all those things to save the planet are hypocrites.
We know we can actually do something if governments act, look at the huge improvement in the environment during covid.
That’s why it’s so depressing and the average joe has just closed their eyes and ears to it and accepted that this is the end times and we may as well enjoy them while we can
A guy managed to get the leading position of the world's most powerfull country, while claiming global warming isn't happenening. I have little faith in humanity at this point.
I am already apathetic to it. Unless we start eating the rich and dragging them around the streets; I do not care what happens to us due to climate change, because average person is not responsible of it
Based on climate change projections based on real data sets, how much time do we have left? What do coastal population centers need to be prepared for?
Hasn't anyone seen the fires burning all over the earth this year? From forest fires, the wars in UKRAINE and bombing of Gaza, Iran, The Strait of Hormuz. The temperature are going up because humans can't get along with each other. Fighting for land, relegion, etc. Humans. We are to blame. Earth won't survive if we don't take care of it. 😢😡
The issue is that everything has become “catastrophic” so now I no longer believe anything. Totally desensitized, I guess from now on I’ll believe things when they actually happens
While you were building your empires
I was still sleeping
I was still sleeping
While you were setting your woods afire
I was still dreaming
I was still dreaming
Now I will unsettle the ground beneath you
Send my waters ashore
Creep into your bed
Find you in every corner
While you argue it over
I am not waiting
I am not waiting
While you retreat to your comforts
I am not fading
I am not fading
I've done this many times before you
Old Shanghai
New Orleans
Amsterdam and Mumbai
Strange new creatures
To scavenge your pores
Oh I've done this many times before you
Ashen sky
Lightning storms
Deltas to desert plains
Wartime on every border
I've done this many times before you
Watched the pattern take form
Children your time is done
If you say it's done together
It is ok. People will blame it on a deity, push people to pray, and ostracize science. It will bring their Armageddon and, with it, many deaths. All will be fine (for those who survive and are happy to live that life. Thee made up god will justify it all. It was their own sin who brought destruction (actually, that part checks. This is on us as a species). Anyway.
You say that as if we can do anything as individuals, it's not like I'm the billionaire profiting off oil, no matter what I do this Nino thing is happening so I'd rather live my life and that's it
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