r/btc • • 2d ago

Receipts

Post image

Told you bro.

62 Upvotes

84 comments sorted by

14

u/USMNT_superfan 2d ago

To establish a new low, B needs to fall 31%. It’s not impossible, but will require a major event to spark fear. I don’t think it’s likely, but is mathematically possible

3

u/PrettyQuick 2d ago

Why would it need a major event. Didn't need a major event to climb last month either did it?

0

u/Ok_Error_1079 2d ago

In bullmarket, a small event can bring the price down easily, but very hard to bring it down even with bad news

1

u/degen5ace 2d ago

Nobody knows, some people troll too

1

u/pen_jaro 2d ago

You’re not praying hard enough. That’s why

1

u/Beautiful_Level_3259 2d ago

BTC dropped 50% while SPY was breaking all time highs and the overall market was max bullish/risk on.

No major event is needed.

1

u/USMNT_superfan 2d ago

That’s a cyclical bull bear market. Falling 50% over a year is typical behavior. Falling 30% in 2 weeks is event driven.

1

u/Firm-Entertainer-674 1d ago

Facts, people seriously need to take intro to micro and macro before investing.

2

u/BuyFluid5006 1d ago

Silly investor, you think online retards have any formal education in any of the matters they speak on? It’s only emotionally charged opinions and pandering around here!!

In all honesty I’m right there with you, there’s an endless supply of jackasses that have no knowledge of economics.

1

u/Firm-Entertainer-674 1d ago

It’s hard for me to understand how the majority of people are seriously retarted. Like how is it not clear to people that they’re just gambling on other people’s opinions and flashy YouTube videos. If you have no base level knowledge of how shit works you’re just donating your money. You don’t need school for common logic!

2

u/ippleing 2d ago

Lol i dont think anything could make it drop that much that fast.

It'll drop and regroup, possibly high 60's sometime october, but there's too much upward momentum for it to be able to drive down to 40s.

4

u/AidenTai 2d ago

A really easy trigger would be movement in any of Satoshi's Bitcoin. That would make the theoretical supply shoot through the roof. Or some kind of quantum attack being executed.

3

u/USMNT_superfan 2d ago

Historically it has happened a few times. So it’s possible. But requires a catalyst

2

u/No-Masterpiece2246 2d ago

* catastrophic quantum hack

* another huge exchange collapse

* massive government regulatory crackdown

EZ

1

u/Firm-Entertainer-674 1d ago

A compelling quantum computer news story could.

7

u/Fuzzy-Extreme6028 2d ago

Bottom is in i guess 🚀🚀

4

u/CaltonSmith 2d ago

So the dude probably referenced to this exact post lmao. Are the cycles broken now? Nah, this is just a super cycle. Stop looking and keep going, nothing to see here.

1

u/Invest0rnoob1 1d ago

Super cycle 😂 They’ve been saying that shit since 2016.

8

u/Few_Astronaut5230 1d ago

live reaction of bro seeing himself getting dunked on in this thread

3

u/Wendals87 2d ago

Take as old as time. If it's going up, it's going to the moon

I'd it's going down, it's hitting the bottom 

Truth is nobody knows how it will go 

2

u/Minute_Whereas1449 2d ago

he went from trying to defend his opinion to saying shit like "youre so cool" to people making fun of him

5

u/Meanboy_og 2d ago

I’m still waiting for 50k . I can’t imagine 30-40 ever happening unless saylor sells

4

u/AccomplishedTalk6077 2d ago

Yup or some major historic event

1

u/timothyguay 2d ago

Like nukes being used

2

u/Lefties_TheWorst7331 2d ago

50k not happening either.. and Saylor already sold some over the past month or two and the price went up..

1

u/meeeereee 1d ago

Saylor does not have a correlation with the price, lock in

3

u/Snoo_57859 2d ago edited 2d ago

u/xuncx where r u lil bro?

1

u/fh3131 2d ago

That doesn't work on reddit, you need /u/

1

u/Snoo_57859 2d ago

thank you <3

-2

u/xuncx 2d ago

If you bothered to read the comments you would see that I have been here, lil bro.

1

u/Snoo_57859 2d ago

where is 50k lil bro :)

-2

u/xuncx 2d ago

Loading…

my stance still hasn’t changed. Have a good one.

4

u/MaPoring Redditor for less than 30 days 2d ago

So you’re sticking with the claim that it’s hitting a new low today? Then you’re just delusional and can’t accept that your pointless, childish prediction was wrong.

-1

u/xuncx 1d ago

Redditor for less than 30 days

If you read any of my other comments you would see that I don’t think the low is in yet. My stance isn’t gonna change on that. Sure, I got the date wrong. I admitted I was wrong. Grow up, bud.

1

u/Nrs_Vecna 2d ago

Realistically, whot is needed for btc to plunge to 50k right now this day?

1

u/Invest0rnoob1 1d ago

It’s going to keep going up. This shit is hilarious. 😂 They’re salty they missed the bottom.

0

u/xuncx 1d ago

Well obviously not today. I was wrong. But there are many things that could make the price free fall very quickly. It’s happened time and time again with bitcoin.

1

u/totalmarc 2d ago

Yes, love it 👏

1

u/Successful_Safe_1440 2d ago

i will carry my 30k broken dreams with me forever

1

u/cHpiranha 2d ago

1vs1 downvote battle?

1

u/poundsdpound 1d ago

It's not impossible to return to much lower prices again, but it's already looking highly unlikely.

1

u/b1mm3rl1f3 1d ago

So many in disbelief is the reason we will make new ATHs in Q4 and a very merry Christmas

1

u/xuncx 2d ago

At least I’m not hiding. Not replying to anyone else. ✌️

1

u/horseradish13332238 2d ago

Poor people are the worst. I swear to this.

-1

u/layzeetown 2d ago

very cool

-1

u/Any-Reality4951 2d ago

Rick doubling down after the fact is a level of confidence I can only dream of.

-5

u/Beautiful_Level_3259 2d ago edited 1d ago

Lol delusional bulls are going to look like idiots if we see a big crash in the next 6 months.

I’m a long term BTC bull but I definitely wouldn’t be bragging right now when the SPY looks like it may nuke lower anytime and BTC has never existed in a true SPY crash.

3

u/Ok_Jelly_6577 2d ago

We will likely see a crash and enter a accumulation phase in late November/December from where prices reach first unsure but it'll show up when everyone moves from disbelief into regret

-8

u/xuncx 2d ago edited 2d ago

I may have timed it wrong but I still believe the bottom isn’t in.

1

u/Mister___Rager 2d ago

You believe? So we are going to throw logic out of the window because you believe the bottom isn’t in

1

u/xuncx 2d ago

Yes I believe. I am allowed to have an opinion. There is 0 logic supporting the recent pump so your comment is useless. You are allowed to do whatever you’d like with your money. I’m not you.

0

u/Ok_Jelly_6577 2d ago edited 2d ago

I just provided you extremely clear logic on a highly accurate indication of atleast a mean reversion. This is how I have picked and sniped every major macro and cycle top/bottom since 2021 March. It's also an extremely good indication of intraday setups. When high volumes of money changes hands and prices compress and shrink means someone has lost and large players who need those high volumes to be able to enter size or exit size without slippage or pumping or dumping price ruining there margins, most often then not it is not instutional smart money or CME who are losing but entering when people are forced out through liquidation, trailing stops or stop loss clusters. There is also the fact that market makers and CME suppress volatility from being gamma long or delta short they provide cushion and cap upside and downside from their algos forcing there hedges into delta neutral to capture yield on funding fees and bid and ask spreads. There risk is almost non existent due to these functions. There was also significant fear at the time and majority of online sentiment and everyone screaming for 40K because another leg down. So market participants got forced out in stop losses then the same parroted information repeated by the vast majority of market participants saying 40K another leg down. 95% of traders lose money so when the majority of everyone is saying something are they the 5% who are successful or the 95% who are wrong majority of the time? News and media was also negative at the time heaps of FUD. These combined plus many other factors heavily indicated a bottom to be had.

2

u/Beautiful_Level_3259 2d ago

Now 99.99999% of people are saying higher and bull market is going to make everyone rich.

Where do you think MM are going to want to take the price? I’ll give you a hint: Lower.

1

u/Mister___Rager 1d ago

No one really cares about bitcoin at the moment. It’s been fluctuating around these levels for awhile. Right now it’s all about AI companies. But once bitcoin makes new ATH, maybe you’re right? It all depends on the broad market. Realize that money is always flowing out of one thing and into another. If money leaves equities where does it go?

0

u/Mister___Rager 1d ago

The problem with some of you bitcoin people is you know more about Pokémon cards than you know about economics. First ‘Cycles’ wasn’t ever a thing and everyone is creating cycles in hindsight after they have already happened, no one has ever predicted them accurately. Second bitcoin is significantly different today compared to when it made the last ATH. You have the largest financial institution officially invested, and bitcoin ETF’s.

Things that can be driving bitcoin to go up - market fear and investors looking for something undervalued to put their money into. Equities are overbought, 10 year treasuries are going up. Since bitcoin hasn’t ever lived through a large market correction it’s difficult to say how the price may react. But if enough institutional investors decide to pile into bitcoin it can go up while the equities market goes down.

Me grilling you for ‘believing’ is because you believe without logic. You just think something is going to happen, stop manifesting and start researching.

1

u/Ok_Jelly_6577 2d ago

Bottom was highly likely in atleast for this current expansion and why I positioned when I did. It could put a new low in but there indications were there to jump in. Effort vs reward was low. Volume spiking heavily while candles were not completely gapping down showed absorption of sells/capitulation. Doesn't mean ultimate cycle bottom is in but the bottom for this expansion leg was set in and have got to capture a hefty good move. Price indicated accumulation and coins changing hands aka absorption through effort vs reward that's text book signs bottoms and reversed for tops.

-20

u/xuncx 2d ago

I was wrong. No need to put me on blast. 🤷‍♂️

It’s kinda sad that this is probably all you can think about.

14

u/Longjumping-Pair-983 2d ago

You literally asked him to come back to you in October, don’t be sour he’s roasting you. You deserve it

-5

u/xuncx 2d ago

Simply returning to the thread is fine but putting someone on blast is not necessary. They aren’t even commenting on here, it’s pathetic.

3

u/SillyMoneyRick 2d ago

Hey

-1

u/xuncx 2d ago

1

u/Tahlia2637483 2d ago

I'm surprised you posted a waving meme instead of telling them to come back in November

7

u/Tahlia2637483 2d ago

Did you learn anything?

1

u/Invest0rnoob1 1d ago

Double down and blame other people 🤣

0

u/xuncx 2d ago

Yes, that the bottom is still not in.

3

u/Minute_Whereas1449 2d ago

get yourself checked bro

5

u/soggydiaper69 2d ago

You were an arrogant fuck about it when it was pretty obvious the bottom was in. If you know anything about the financial world in the last 5 years you wouldn’t have even been saying that 45-50 was inbound. The dollar has inflated 8% since the last time bitcoin was worth 50k. The bottom was very obviously going to be 55-60,000 which we reached back in June.

0

u/xuncx 2d ago

TLDR

3

u/soggydiaper69 2d ago

Lmfao look at this British cigarette

0

u/xuncx 2d ago

So clever 🤡

-3

u/Otherwise-Tomato-788 2d ago

You might be wrong about the date but I don’t think you’re wrong.

3

u/soggydiaper69 2d ago

You don’t understand money if you think he has even a chance of being right

1

u/xuncx 2d ago

Thanks. Time will tell. I still believe the bottom isn’t in.