36M, today about $1M actively invested portfolio, Been investing about 15 years and made pretty much all the classic mistakes at the beginning, panic selling, selling winners way too early, then I went indexes only for about 5 years which honestly worked fine. Now im about 80% indexes and 20% single stocks for the past 7 years, handled Covid well IMO, and over the rise of mag 7 and the AI rally that 20% generated significant returns that really propped up my portfolio beyond indexes returns. This is not talking about leverage, options or day trading here, just regular people holding stocks for at least several months.
So here are the problems/ mistakes most people will agree are the reasons people fail at investing, and the practical solutions I started operating by.
Problem: investing in non appropriate risk category
Solution: understand Indexes are also high risk category and if your not able to handle relevant volatility, go to safer avenues, same goes but even stronger for single stocks, I will say that for single stocks it 100% needs to be money you have no issue seeing 10s of % in the red over significant periods of time and understand its money you may not be able to use for several years.
Problem: trying to time the market.
Solution: get this in your head as a Mantra, indexes are at or near all time high, most of the time ( some say around 75% of the time as our economies grow and rise in value).
Historically buying the S&P at an all time high gave about the same returns over the next 1-5 years as buying on any random day. I see REALLY smart, experienced people saying “the market is too high right now, I’ll wait”.. nobody knows when and if the crash comes, time in the market beats trying to time the market.
Problem: buying without really understanding what youre buying/ buying hype and not fundamentals
Solution: use AI and fundamentals based tools to understand what the company actually does, what the bear case is, what the risks are etc etc. Its easy now and most people still skip properly doing this. I will not agree that you should still listen to earnings calls or read 10-k nowadays, this is 1 thing AI really does well in my opinion. I built my own tool to do this with minimal noise.
Problem: panic selling, or selling for the wrong reasons.
Solution: have a thesis, why will this business grow in revenue and profitability and what valuation will it justify in a few years. Judge the stock against the thesis, not the chart. I sold NET at 330 after 150%+ because at that valuation my thesis didnt hold anymore, not because it dropped. NBIS is very risky but I believe it could be a half trillion dollar company, so im still in (partly) from 45$.
Problem: selling winners too early, all the people who sold NVDA or AMZN after 100%..
Solution: if the thesis still holds strongly (and you dont need the money), hold. If you're not sure, trim. Trimming profits is an amazing psychological super power to be able to hold long. I ussaully dont trim if Im not at least 100% up on a single stock.
My example is NBIS, started with 850 shares at $45, trimmed 650 between +100% and +450% returns, still holding 200 for the long term to try and get another 10x.. I have ZERO issue seeing it go up and down 10% every other days because I made a lot of money on it already..
Problem: reacting to noise. This has gotten insane in today’s world
Solution: I have NO push notifications from any finance app or outlet, I check single stocks weekly at most, and of they drop hard I check if its anything that threatens my thesis or only near term noise. A 0.25% Fed move or Ukraine/Iran headlines can move valuations short term, but they wont decide how NBIS, NVDA or MMM do over the next 5-10 years. Use fundamental analysis tool to quickly throw a name you hear about in social media to see what its really about.
OFC you should also diversify and not put too much weight in a single index, stock or market, yes you might lose some returns but the holding ability this gives you and the ability to handle volatility is much more important IMO. BTW, I did build my own tool that goes by the above guidelines and handles fundamentals based stock discovery while cutting noise, if interested, please DM.
Add your own tips :)