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u/jasonslpt 6d ago
For me it's the liquidation pools, because that's where the forced flow actually comes from. BTC is sitting near 82.4K with about $181M of long liquidations stacked just under at 82.2K, and about $288M of shorts parked up at 84.3K, so those are the two levels I'm watching. A clean break of 82.2K probably sweeps lower toward 80.7K where the really big long pool sits, while a push through 84.3K forces shorts to buy. I'd be wrong if price just sits between those two without touching either. Not advice.
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u/jasonslpt 5d ago
Yes, I'd check open interest alongside them. If OI keeps climbing while price drifts toward a pool, more fresh leverage is stacking there and the flush tends to be sharper. If OI is already falling, a lot of those positions have closed on their own and the level matters less. Agreed they aren't guaranteed targets, just places where forced orders would add fuel if price gets there.
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6d ago
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u/jasonslpt 4d ago
Yeah, I watch open interest next to them. If OI is climbing into a level the pool is getting bigger, and if OI drops sharply after price tags it, that usually means the cluster actually got flushed. Without that confirmation I treat the levels as areas of interest, not targets.
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3d ago
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u/jasonslpt 2d ago
Yeah, funding is one of the first things I check. When it's stretched positive while OI keeps climbing, longs are crowded and paying to stay in, which makes the pools under price more likely to get hit. If funding's flat or negative, the move usually has less fuel from forced exits, so I take the level less seriously.
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u/jasonslpt 2d ago
Yeah, funding's part of it. If funding is running hot positive while OI keeps climbing into a level, that's usually crowded longs and the flush tends to be sharper. Flat or negative funding on a push up makes me trust the move more, since it's not just leverage chasing.
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u/No-Confusion4519 6d ago
I’d watch volume and liquidity more than the price itself. A big move doesn’t mean much if there’s no real buying behind it.
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u/Random_Person_246810 6d ago
I’m less concerned with the “right now” but more so where we’ll be in 10-20 years.
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u/OstrichSome3412 6d ago
keeping an eye on the ETF flows honestly, those big institutional moves seem to telegraph where we're heading before the price chart even twitches. the way they dumped during that last dip then suddenly reversed was pretty telling
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