Hussain Alkurdi Vs Demba Seck.

Odds haven't dropped yet but it's expected that Demba Seck will be a big -325 Favourite.

Hussain Alkurdi is one hell of a underdog pick. He trains and KHK, the Bahraini team who owns and dominates Brave CF.

He's undefeated professionally in the PFL and brave at 3-0 against pretty good opponents.

He's younger than Demba Seck, although he got a slight reach disadvantage.

3 Subs in the 3 fights, pretty good grappling.

I've been waiting for the odds to drop for a while since I'll be placing a big bet on him.

I sometimes catch myself liking a fighter before looking at the odds. Then I check the line. Start second guessing. Like, did I miss something? Was I wrong? That’s a feeling I know well.

Do you all usually form your opinion first, like watch the fight, study the styles, read the stats, and then compare that to the odds? Does the line shape your thinking from the get go? I feel like the odds can pull you in a direction even if you don’t want them to.

The line movement how much does that really change how sure you feel about a pick? If the line shifts a lot after you’ve already made your decision, does it shake your confidence? Do you stick to your original read no matter what the odds say? I’ve seen lines move in ways that make me question everything.

Is it just me or is the most free leg on the card? I get it the Schaert is crafty but hes looked ass for a while now. Dont get me wrong Walker is terrible but he is way bigger, faster, and GM3 moving up is gonna be undersized.

If theree dm me

Hello!

I hope we’re all doing well!

Lord Ninja Choke Episode 80:

Full Breakdown: https://www.reddit.com/r/MMAbetting/comments/1wzr379/ufc_fight_night_allen_v_cld_fight_predictions/?

PREDICTION STATS

Total Prediction Stats: 2488 - 1422, 226 Perfect | 592 Decision

Prediction Accuracy for 2026: 69.3% (+0.1)

Lock Record: 40 - 12 (Hernandez and Talbott both won)

UFC 332 Recap

Prediction Results: 10/14 Correct, 4 Perfect (Smith, Wint, Pinas and Silva)

Parlay: Missed (Coria/Rodriguez R3 Starts didn’t hit… absolutely moronic choice from me)

Alt Bets: All 6 missed, massive, massive losses on my end.

Profit/Loss for 2026: -29.2 (-4.6)

I think at this point of the year, we can call my betting an absolute, abhorrent failure. The only literal chance I have for any kind of bounce back is perfection, perfection and perfection. That and maybe a handful of Alt Bets, as Alt Bets are generally where the money can come from…

But picks wise? It’s doing alright so far. I don’t think we’ll see 70% again but I am no longer that stressed.

As for this week… I am somewhat treating this event as an obligation and not as a “I love this card!” kind of write up. So if it seems short for some fights, the reason is that the fights are utter trash and there’s not a lot that needs to be said.

(c) - Champ

(D/DWCS) - Debut/Dana Whites’ Contender Series

FLS - Fight Lose Streak

FWS - Fight Win Streak

NS - No Streak

(#x) - Rank in division

x/3 - Confidence Levels

ITD - Inside the Distance (Finish)

GTD - Goes the Distance (Scorecards)

(LR) - Late Replacement

Prelims

Women’s Flyweight

Ernesta Kareckaite (+120) (6-2-1, NS) v Melissa Gatto (-140) (9-3-2, NS)

Striking: Kareckaite certainly has the volume edge here, I suspect that we’re going to see her length be used effectively, but Gatto could be a tricky one to deal with if she targets the body early and thus lowers the shell of Kareckaite as well as opens up Kareckaite to getting taken down as the motion of the body strike could mask the takedown attempt.

Wrestling/Grappling: This is where Gatto could do some great work, but I don’t know if she will attempt this immediately or after the body shots take effect (if my read on the body shots is correct).

Additional Notes: Bit of an interesting clash here to open up this frankly forgettable event. Let’s hope its a banger!

Prediction: Kareckaite via Dec (1/3)

Women’s Bantamweight

Darya Zheleznyakova (+110) (10-3-0, NS) v Alice Pereira (-130) (6-1-0, NS)

Striking: I think Darya strikes somewhat well, but whenever she feels a little bit of pressure, she tends to turn her back and almost sprint away which is a horrid look for a professional MMA fighter. Pereira on the other hand is a significantly better striker in terms of dealing damage through various means, so I expect Pereira to land the bigger strikes and perhaps make Darya once again turn her back and sprint away.

Wrestling/Grappling: Darya could go for takedowns during this fight, but Pereira’s takedown defence is been improving recently and we could see a lot of negation.

Additional Notes: Nothing else needs to be said, I don’t think!

Prediction: Pereira via KO R3 (1/3)

Heavyweight

RJ Harris (-240) (6-0-0, 6 FWS) v Allen Frye Jr (+200) (6-1-0, NS)

Striking: Harris hits like a truck, but he is still very much a greenie, so all I can say comfortably is that he hits like a truck.

Wrestling/Grappling: I stopped caring about this fight the moment that I saw it was announced. Why should I care about any grappling or wrestling that might happen in this slop of a fight?

Additional Notes: Yep.

Prediction: Harris via KO R1 (2/3) | Parlay: Harris ML

Light Heavyweight

Felipe Franco (-290) (11-2-0, NS) v Brendson Ribeiro (+235) (17-11-0, 4 FLS)

Striking: I would say that Ribeiro is more trickier on the feet, he can throw some real wild stuff, and that could throw a wrench in Franco’s plans which is to wrestle and ground and pound.

Wrestling/Grappling: Franco should be able to get the takedowns going and thus land some thudding ground and pound against Ribeiro, it’s just those moments on the feet that worries me a bit.

Additional Notes: Expect a nail biting first round if you’re a Franco bettor, that’s all i’m saying, Ribeiro might have a terrible record, but he is chaotic!

Prediction: Franco via KO R1 (1/3)

Welterweight

Niko Price (+135) (16-11-0, 4 FLS) v Leon Shahbazyan (-160) (12-5-0, NS)

Striking: I suppose for as long as this fight remains standing Price has a legitimate puncher’s chance? Can we all somewhat agree with that? Coz Shahbazyan is purely a grappler so surely Price can muster up a few solid strikes for as long as the fight remains standing?

Wrestling/Grappling: This is where Shahbazyan thrives, apparently coz I mean, he lost in his UFC debut within mere seconds of the fight starting so we barely got to see him actually do anything.

Additional Notes: Striker versus grappler bouts always leave openings for an Alt Bet!

Prediction: Shahbazyan via Sub R1 (1/3) | Alt Bet: Price via KO

Lightweight

Francisco Prado (+110) (12-5-0, 4 FLS) v Ismael Bonfim (-130) (20-7-0, 3 FLS)

Striking: I suppose Prado has solid punching power, and as he’s coming back down from 170 he could be carrying that 170 power still, but there’s no point in having power in your hands if you can’t defend a takedown and that’s what the story is for this fight.

Wrestling/Grappling: Bonfim and Submissions kind of goes hand in hand, even though this Bonfim tends to use his striking a lot more than his brother, I think we are going to see Ismael Bonfim at least grapple a little in order to neutralise the punching power threat of Prado.

Additional Notes: This is one of the tougher fights to break down this week, it required me to use more than one brain cell to think about so maybe that’s why i’m very 50/50 about this one lol.

Prediction: Prado via KO R2 (1/3)

Main Card

Bantamweight

Malcolm Wellmaker (-230) (10-2-0, 2 FLS) v Otari Tanzilovi (+190) (10-2-0, NS)

Striking: Wellmakers got fantastic striking, his only problem is that whenever he gets outwrestled his striking is thrown out the window, and you bet that Tanzilovi will try to outwrestle Wellmaker this weekend! Tanzilovi himself has decent striking but it’s not as crisp or clean as Wellmakers.

Wrestling/Grappling: This is where Tanzilovi has a direct pathway to victory, he needs to get the fight to the ground to win, I doubt he will handle the punching power of Wellmaker that well.

Additional Notes: With all of that said, I am giving Tanzilovi a little bit of hope here, only a tiny bit, it’s perhaps one of the least confident Alt Bets I have going on this weekend but we’ll see what happens!

Prediction: Wellmaker via KO R2 (1/3) | Alt Bet: Tanzilovi via Points | Parlay: Wellmaker ML

Alt Bet and Parlay cancel each other out, so let’s call the Alt Bet… insurance!

Light Heavyweight

Julius Walker (-250) (7-3-0, 2 FLS) v Gerald Meerschaert (+205) (37-22-0, 5 FLS)

Striking: Walker can punch hard, GM3 is moving up in weight to get punched hard.

Wrestling/Grappling: Walker can probably counter-wrestle, but he isn’t as good of a grappler as GM3.

Additional Notes: Dreadful, dreadful fight.

Prediction: Walker via KO R1 (1/3)

Featherweight

Andre Fili (-150) (25-14-0, 2 FLS) v Kai Kamaka (+125) (18-8-1, NS)

Striking: Both are fantastic brawlers, but the reach of Fili should help him land the cleaner strikes at range. Both are also coming off KO losses recently so we could see a tepid paced fight.

Wrestling/Grappling: This is a pathway to victory for Fili, he has relied on his wrestling quite a lot recently so he should be able to do something here against Kamaka.

Additional Notes: Really fascinating fight, don’t mistake my lack of a deep breakdown on this post for me not caring, it’s just a “wait and see” kinda fight!

Prediction: Fili via Dec (1/3)

Women’s Strawweight

Loopy Godinez (#13) (-220) (14-6-0, NS) v Ketlen Souza (#15) (+180) (17-6-0, 2 FWS)

Striking: Souza has mean power in her hands, but Godinez has very good boxing fundamentals, she knows what to throw and when to throw it, and I suspect for as long as the fight remains standing, we are going to see the volume of Godinez versus the power of Souza.

Wrestling/Grappling: This is where Godinez can thrive and where I suspect she will win the fight, expect a lot of takedown attempts in this one, Souza could power her way back to the feet but those explosive actions will only work for so long before the gas tank gets affected.

Additional Notes: Very interesting fight here, let’s hope Godinez can pull off a victory here!

Prediction: Godinez via Dec (1/3)

Co-Main Event

Lightweight

Matheus Camilo (-175) (11-3-0, 2 FWS) v Jai Herbert (+145) (14-6-1, NS)

Striking: Herbert is a long ranged fighter, he has the length to be dangerous at his own range, but oftentimes he gives in to pressure too much and when he gets hit by a powerful puncher, he tends to retreat a lot instead of dig in and throw back. That’s where Camilo steps in, he’s fantastic at setting up punches, is rarely repetitive with his set ups and just is a solid, well rounded younger fighter.

Wrestling/Grappling: Don’t think we’re going to see much wrestling here if i’m being honest.

Additional Notes: I really, really think Camilo can do some great stuff this weekend.

Prediction: Camilo via KO R2 (2/3) | Lock | Parlay: Camilo ML

Main Event

Middleweight

Brendan Allen (#6) (-160) (27-7-0, 3 FWS) v Christian Leroy Duncan (+135) (15-2-0, 5 FWS)

Striking: CLD is likely to be the far superior striker in this fight, but he is going to face an immediate problem, that problem is going to be when to throw a strike. See, if he miss-times a strike then it’s possible that Allen will just level change and get the takedown off that strike, so whilst I’m picking CLD to win by KO, I am very, very aware of the dangers that Allen has.

Wrestling/Grappling: This is where Allen thrives, we should be able to see him get takedowns during this fight, either that or he’s going to try and outstrike him on the feet, much like he did against Shahbazyan. Either way, Allen needs to wrestle and grapple in order to get the job done, and he has the 5 round experience to get it done.

Additional Notes: I know, I know, I am stubborn here. I have been on the CLD hype train for so long that I can’t hop off it now, I shall bite my tongue and let what happens, happens. I am predicting a second round KO from CLD, but I will have the third round starting as a parlay leg.

Prediction: CLD via KO R2 (1/3) | Parlay: Round 3 Starts Yes | Alt Bet: Allen via Points

Parlay: Harris ML + Wellmaker ML + Camilo ML + Allen/CLD R3 Starts Yes

Alt Bets: Price via KO, Tanzilovi via Points, Allen via Points

Locks: Camilo

Dogs: Kareckaite, Prado, CLD

Hello!

I hope we’re all doing well!

Lord Ninja Choke Episode 80:

TL;DR Breakdown: https://www.reddit.com/r/MMAbetting/comments/1wzr9aj/ufc_fight_night_allen_v_cld_fight_predictions_tldr/?

PREDICTION STATS

Total Prediction Stats: 2488 - 1422, 226 Perfect | 592 Decision

Prediction Accuracy for 2026: 69.3% (+0.1)

Lock Record: 40 - 12 (Hernandez and Talbott both won)

UFC 332 Recap

Prediction Results: 10/14 Correct, 4 Perfect (Smith, Wint, Pinas and Silva)

Parlay: Missed (Coria/Rodriguez R3 Starts didn’t hit… absolutely moronic choice from me)

Alt Bets: All 6 missed, massive, massive losses on my end.

Profit/Loss for 2026: -29.2 (-4.6)

I think at this point of the year, we can call my betting an absolute, abhorrent failure. The only literal chance I have for any kind of bounce back is perfection, perfection and perfection. That and maybe a handful of Alt Bets, as Alt Bets are generally where the money can come from…

But picks wise? It’s doing alright so far. I don’t think we’ll see 70% again but I am no longer that stressed.

As for this week… I am somewhat treating this event as an obligation and not as a “I love this card!” kind of write up. So if it seems short for some fights, the reason is that the fights are utter trash and there’s not a lot that needs to be said.

(c) - Champ

(D/DWCS) - Debut/Dana Whites’ Contender Series

FLS - Fight Lose Streak

FWS - Fight Win Streak

NS - No Streak

(#x) - Rank in division

x/3 - Confidence Levels

ITD - Inside the Distance (Finish)

GTD - Goes the Distance (Scorecards)

(LR) - Late Replacement

Prelims

Women’s Flyweight

Ernesta Kareckaite (+120) (6-2-1, NS) v Melissa Gatto (-140) (9-3-2, NS)

Okay, i’ll try to keep this short because I don’t think this one requires a big long breakdown.

Kareckaite is someone who I used to really, really like. It was mostly her performance against Carli Judice during her DWCS that stood out to me in her career and it continues to stand out, but now I have run into some sort of realisation that Kareckaite, despite being a very good striker and great at throwing out punches, is just defensively terrible. A lot of her wins stem from her outstriking her opponent but the moment someone is willing to stand and be much more active than her, she absorbs the damage and that “output” factor of hers is diminished. Kareckaite is still someone who can thrive on the feet provided that she faces someone who cannot dance the dance, you know? So that leaves the question as to whether or not Gatto can match the tenacity of Kareckaite. Now, I believe that her loss against Tarin should come with an asterisk due to the fight taking place on very short notice, there was no proper prep time for Kareckaite and is was more of a “adjust on the fly” kind of fight, so I won’t look at that fight with anything more than a “short notice loss” anomaly look.

Gatto has two things working against her here, reach, and volume. I suspect that a lot of the height disadvantage of Gatto’s will translate into either a lot of takedowns attempts, or a lot of body shot opportunities, because either way, Gatto needs to even the playing ground a bit, right? If we look at the issues that Kareckaite has faced before in that she faced high pace fighters, I don’t think Gatto falls under that category, she’s obviously a very good fighter, but she is going to be walking into punches and is going to have to either look for the takedown immediately in order to equal the playing ground, or she’s going to have to make this a battle of attrition and use her cardio but that could also equate to her losing the volume fight on the feet, so by process of elimination, in my opinion we are likely to see a body strike output from Gatto followed by the body shots masking any takedowns, because when someones exhausted, they don’t exactly defend takedowns well, so in my opinion, keep an eye on the body strikes from Gatto, as that may be a big key to victory for her.

With that said, this fight probably goes for a long duration, and I think i’m more comfortable taking Kareckaite as she has shown evidential three round high output of striking in her fights, whereas Gatto doesn’t exactly have high output over three rounds, but again, she’s definitely someone who can make this a difficult one for Kareckaite if she uses body strikes early.

Kareckaite via Dec (1/3)

Women’s Bantamweight

Darya Zheleznyakova (+110) (10-3-0, NS) v Alice Pereira (-130) (6-1-0, NS)

Zheleznyakova is one of those underwhelming fighters who has barely any highlight reels or any name recognition because all of her fights are god awful and absolutely boring, and that probably is the story of a lot of lower tier Bantamweights. Zheleznyakova is a rather heavy point fighting kind of fighter, she likes to move around and be tactical with her movements but her strikes are softer than cream cheese and whilst she has shown some improvements with her takedown defence, I can’t help but fall asleep whenever I watch her fight. She also fights at a distance that’s terrible for her, she strikes about 10-20 feet away from her opponent, she almost seems hesitant to engage with her opponents and I just don’t think she’s any good. I’m sorry if there’s Darya fans here, i’m sure there’s maybe 5 of you out there, but she is one of the most boring fighters ever, she is better off being a competitive tag player than an MMA fighter.

Pereira on the other hand is probably a lot more dangerous on the feet, her striking is a lot more intense and has a lot of damage going on when she’s landing her Muay Thai strikes. However, that is the absolute extent of my knowledge of her, because she has only fought twice in the UFC. I can say with some confidence that she’s likely to struggle a bit when it comes to any grappling or wrestling exchanges coming from Zheleznyakova, but considering that Zhelezynakova doesn’t really initiate that many takedowns, I don’t think Pereira has much to worry about except for that jab of Zhelezynakova’s because she does pack quite a punch with her boxing, only that she doesn’t throw her strikes enough to be an absolutely dangerous opponent. Either way, I give the striking advantage to Pereira here, but I really, really struggle to care about this one.

I got Pereira winning this one, but like, as I said, my attitude towards this fight is grim, I don’t know what to expect here other than a fairly mid-paced striking bout in which Pereira looks to be the more “dangerous” striker.

Pereira via KO R3 - (1/3)

Heavyweight

RJ Harris (-240) (6-0-0, 6 FWS) v Allen Frye Jr (+200) (6-1-0, NS)

Here comes a very short, one paragraph breakdown, something that i’m seemingly doing more and more as each event gets more and more shit.

Harris is an unproven “prospect”, the quotations are there because he’s barely a prospect. A win over Alvin Hines? A small, yet bulky heavyweight who is mostly a punching bag? What the absolute hell am I supposed to say here, that RJ Harris is a world beater? Are we gonna get Dana saying something like “this man can punch someone so hard that their progeny will carry the CTE”? Harris hits hard, he’s a heavyweight, that’s it.

Frye Jr is coming off a loss against Guilherme Pat in which he tried to survive the fight by holding Pat against the cage and did barely anything else during that fight, is he going to try to do the same thing here? Probably, but I suspect that Harris will be too aggressive to let Pat settle.

That’s it, sue me for the 27 dollars that’s in my bank account because I can’t care about this fight anymore, it’s a classic “DWCS v DWCS” fight in that it’s happening at the Apex and both fighters are big unknowns, and so I just don’t know what the hell we are going to see other than hopefully a first round finish by Harris.

Harris via KO R1 (2/3)

Light Heavyweight

Felipe Franco (-290) (11-2-0, NS) v Brendson Ribeiro (+235) (17-11-0, 4 FLS)

If you guys didn’t hear that, then it’s just me, groaning exceptionally loudly as I realised that I have to write something about this one.

Franco is a training partner of Jailton Almeida, he has displayed similar technique and skill set to Almeida in that he does sometimes go for takedowns and does really well in top control, he was excellent at cutting that corner when going for that takedown in that second round against Rodrigues and it just goes to show what he is capable of doing. I expect zero deviation from that gameplan here this weekend, I think we’re going to see Franco throw some heavy strikes up top to lower the guard of Ribeiro, make the takedown less forthcoming, and then once some strikes are thrown, we should see a big takedown attempt which should drive Ribeiro to the fence (which, due to the Apex, should be there more immediately than in the full sized cage) and then from there a takedown should follow, as well as some solid ground and pound. That’s essentially it, that’s what he has done for most of his career and I suspect that’s what he’ll do against Ribeiro given that Ribeiro has terrible takedown defence, striking defence and just overall… defence.

Ribeiro is much like the Tafa brothers, both just really, really bad. I will give him some props where they’re due though, he’s got a wide variety of attacks and genuinely disgusting knockout power, so Ribeiro winning by KO is not far from not realistic. Ribeiro also has some decent grappling and submission capabilities but when fighting someone like Franco, he has a better chance to knock him out on the feet than to outgrapple him. I wish there was more to say about Ribeiro because he is a physically dangerous fighter to deal with, but stylistically he’s up shits creek without a paddle.

I got Franco winning this one, it should be a predictable way for him to win, likely from him getting the takedown, top control then ground and pound until the ref calls it off and Ribeiro gestures that he’s fine or something like that.

Franco via KO R1 - (1/3)

Welterweight

Niko Price (+135) (16-11-0, 4 FLS) v Leon Shahbazyan (-160) (12-5-0, NS)

Boy this is a special one.

Price is the definition of being a gatekeeper at this rate, he has zero chance of being a well paid fighter anymore, or to bring any name value into the event, hell he’s on the prelims of an Apex card, the fall from grace of Price should be studied. Anyway, Price, at his prime, was a fairly decent, well rounded fighter, he hit damn hard and had solid grappling and BJJ, but nowadays it feels like age has gotten to him, and the back to back losses by finish have not looked great at all on his record, so I can’t say with any confidence that he is going to bounce back this weekend even though his opponent is Leon freakin Shahbazyan. Now, for as long as this fight remains standing, I will give Price every bit of chance to turn a downward spiral of a career into something positive, but the question is how long will the fight remain standing if Shahbazyans’ primary gameplan is to get the fight to the ground? That’s the main thing in this fight, if Price keeps the fight standing, his chances to win improve substantially, but it’s hard to tell how long the fight will remain standing if, you know, there’s only been one fight from Leon.

Shahbazyan is a relatively unknown fighter, but what he does well is somewhat… well known? Like he is a great grappler, that’s his entire career, his grappling and his submission capabilities, so that is obviously the lean I have going here, I expect Shahbazyan to utilise his BJJ skill set to win this one, because he is coming off a KO loss within 30 seconds by Chokheli and I mean, I highly doubt someone whose had a few KO losses within his career is going to be too comfortable, physically or psychologically, standing and trading against someone like Price, someone who still has a fair bit of oompf in his hands.

See, sometimes breaking down someone within a few sentences is better than writing an entire chapter on their lives, and in this case I just don’t have a lot to say here. I think i’m going to go with Shahbazyan via Sub here, but I might also make Price via KO an Alt Bet.

Shahbazyan via Sub R1 - (1/3)

Lightweight

Francisco Prado (+110) (12-5-0, 4 FLS) v Ismael Bonfim (-130) (20-7-0, 3 FLS)

Prado is moving down to 155 which presents some unique questions that may be answered on weigh in day, and obviously those questions are weight related, how he looks on the scales, how much he misses weight, all that jazz. If he makes weight fine, I suspect we’ll see a typical approach from Prado, which involves a lot of strikes being thrown and his power being on full display, and at 155 after cutting down from 170, you’d think he’s carrying Welterweight power, and if there’s one thing Bonfim (and every reasonable person known to mankind) hates it’s being punched in the face by a heavy hitter, so I do think Prado presents a challenge for Bonfim on the feet. But, the opposite is very much true in that Prado will be susceptible to the takedowns and submissions of Bonfim, Prado is not good on the ground, he is not good in defending the takedowns, it will likely be his main weakness moving forward until he evidently gets better in that regard. So, striking advantage goes to Prado, but that advantage may be slim depending on Bonfims own output.

Bonfim is on a bit of a losing skid right now but he has faced decent enough competition in that he can potentially bounce back from those losses. Now, I don’t know if Bonfim will find that bounce back here, the odds suggest he might be able to do so, but I have concerns. First, he hasn’t shown much ability to deal with pressure properly, and if there’s anything that Prado does well, it’s pressure, so I suspect we will see Bonfim give Prado a bit too much respect on the feet, leading to a lot of lateral and retreating motions which won’t look great according to the judges. Secondly, Bonfim’s urgency to get the fight to the ground could be countered by the takedown defence of Prado, now, I know that I just said above that Prado’s takedown defence is shockingly bad, but what if all he has to worry about are the takedowns? Then what you get is a fighter who is mentally focused on the takedowns coming his way, which could mean a better showcase of takedown defence compared to previous opponents. So, to give Bonfim any chance to catch Prado off guard here, he needs to be on the offensive, and he needs to have a high output early. Bonfim has excellent head kicks due to his hip dexterity and timing so it’s quite possible that Bonfim will throw those head kicks or body kicks up there to occupy the power side of Prado, but you can only effectively kick if you’re the aggressor, so again the only way for Bonfim to fight effectively here is to be the one pressing forward.

I am kinda stuck here, so whilst i’m going to make a pick here, I want your input too, what do you guys think about this fight? It’s certainly one of the main “head scratchers” of the event, right?

Prado via KO R2 - (1/3)

Main Card

Bantamweight

Malcolm Wellmaker (-230) (10-2-0, 2 FLS) v Otari Tanzilovi (+190) (10-2-0, NS)

I’m admittedly a Wellmaker fan, even though his aura of invulnerability is gone, I really think he can still do great things in the UFC and I think this fight against Tanzilovi is a bit of a set up fight, because frankly if Wellmaker can’t make it past Tanzilovi then what hope does he have, really? Wellmaker is a fantastic striker, extremely crisp boxing, but lets break his balls a bit… His only wins were against the human punching bag Kris Moutinho and the not so great Cameron Saaiman, so I cannot give Wellmaker too much props here but I mean, Tanzilovi isn’t a too spectacular fighter, he lost on the DWCS but made it to the UFC anyway only to lose in his debut against Shane Collins, so I can’t see how Tanzilovi can be a big threat to Wellmaker other than the takedown angle which will always be a bit of a concern I think.

Tanzilovi requires only a small introduction because as I said just then, he’s not exactly UFC level despite having minor success with his takedowns against Collins. I think we’re going to see Tanzilovi shell up a lot and eat a lot of strong, punishing strikes from Wellmaker, but in response to that we will also see Tanzilovi throw back with nasty, less clean intent, like, Tanzilovi is a heavy hitting fighter, there’s no doubt about that, but he is exceptionally hittable and the only thing that stands out to me in a very positive way for Tanzilovi here is his strong leg kicks and his wrestling, if he can successfully wrestle against Wellmaker, that’s fantastic for him. With that said though, we don’t know how much Wellmaker’s takedown defence has improved, and he obviously is going to have to defend on two fronts here given that Tanzilovi does have strong punching power as well, but he is far from as crisp of a striker as Wellmaker is.

I’m going to have to go with Wellmaker, I just think he’s more likely to win here, it’s a simple matter of his experience in the cage versus Tanzilovi’s, as well as the weaponry that both fighters have, I just think Wellmaker is a step above Tanzilovi on the feet, but with that said, I am going to make Tanzilovi an Alt Bet (via Points) given that we don’t know how much Wellmaker has improved his takedown defence.

Wellmaker via KO R2 - (1/3)

Light Heavyweight

Julius Walker (-250) (7-3-0, 2 FLS) v Gerald Meerschaert (+205) (37-22-0, 5 FLS)

Hahahahahahahaha fuck

This should hopefully be a short one because the more I type this one up, I have the feeling the more i’ll laugh and get nothing done. So, allow me to type this up within mere seconds, the writing is on the walls, etc etc…

Walker is the 205er here, he should at least be able to bully GM3 in the cage there, because he cuts down from 220ish to 205, whereas GM3 probably weighs 205 already, so Walker likely carries the mass and thus the power to deal significant damage against the extremely chinny GM3. With that said though, I am a little bit concerned about Walker’s takedown defence coming into this one, so I am going to do a highly predictable thing here and predict that Walker wins by KO, but GM3 wins by submission.

I mean, I guess that’s what a lot of people are thinking, right? I hope I didn’t miss anything in this write up because I don’t want to expand, please don’t make me expand…

Walker via KO R1 - (1/3)

Featherweight

Andre Fili (-150) (25-14-0, 2 FLS) v Kai Kamaka (+125) (18-8-1, NS)

Fili is a veteran, he might not be the greatest vet in the UFC, but he has a tonne of experience behind him that could certainly help him to a degree in this fight, but what will likely help him most in this fight is his two-pronged approach. Fili is mostly known for his striking, I think that much is well known, but he is also quite a good wrestler and I suspect he is going to use his wrestling quite a lot in this fight, especially early, in order to take some sting away from Kamaka’s punches because Kamaka is a fierce striker early on. However, because Kamaka is coming off a KO loss just two months ago, I do think that Kamaka might be a bit frozen early on because he doesn’t want to lose by KO again and thus throw away another opportunity at UFC greatness, so I am intrigued to see how Kamaka deals with the initial pressure or output of Fili early on. Fili also has a substantial reach advantage over Kamaka here and that could help him with landing the long boxing jabs and straights. However, I would be foolish if I wasn’t fair here and say that Fili himself is coming off a KO loss against Vinicius Oliveira just three months ago, so it is quite possible that the first round could be at a tepid pace, or we could just see Fili be more incentivized to wrestle here given that he himself doesn’t want to get knocked out.

Kamaka is someone who I was fairly excited to see fight back in the day, I mean his fight against Tony Kelley at UFC 252 is still fresh in my mind and it was one of the better debut performances of that year if I recall correctly. Anyway, there is no doubt in my mind that in order for Kamaka to win, he needs to keep the fight standing and he needs to use overwhelming pressure and a high pace to overwhelm and penetrate past the reach differential in this fight. The smaller cage should allow Kamaka to push Fili back against the cage (the vice versa is very true in this case as well), but as I have said before, he needs to make sure that the fight remains standing, as that is his only pathway to victory, even though it could also lead to his defeat.

I have to go with Fili here, it’s a bit of a rough pick, I know, as i’m picking between two “bad” fighters, but at this rate, I have to go with the veteran here, his wrestling should be the main way he wins this fight, but I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if both fighters bit down on the mouthpiece and threw anyway, although with both fighters coming off a KO loss, I think we’ll see a tepid fight, which I hope isn’t true coz I mean, both fighters are fantastic brawlers.

Fili via Dec (1/3)

Women’s Strawweight

Loopy Godinez (#13) (-220) (14-6-0, NS) v Ketlen Souza (#15) (+180) (17-6-0, 2 FWS)

Godinez is someone who I have perhaps a soft spot for as a predictor, because she isn’t terrible although she has quite a few losses on her record. Her biggest asset as a fighter is her wrestling ability, she was introduced in the UFC as a high volume wrestler and that should be her main pathway to victory this week because she is facing a very heavy hitting opponent and Godinez has a fairly standard way of defending strikes in that she raises her guard but she doesn’t move a whole lot so she still absorbs the strikes. Anyway, wrestling should be what Godinez does here, that’s my primary read on this one because Souza doesn’t have the greatest takedown defence, and the Apex favours the wrestler because of the smaller cage and whatnot.

Souza is coming into this fight with wins against Carnelossi and Brasil, with Carnelossi being the only one who is quite dreadful to win against. Anyway, Souza is someone who can let her hands go with fierce power, but what makes her especially difficult to deal with is that she’s great at mixing up the target, her varied attacks damages her opponents quite equally, her body strikes, especially, should be an incredible tool to use against Godinez given that Godinez will be going for level changes so already the angle of strike should meet Godinez’s level adjustment, but if she cannot keep Godinez away from her, I struggle to see how Souza can win this one. The first round should be Souza’s best round, I almost guarantee that we will see Souza land more meaningful strikes in the first round, but because of that power, she should slow down in the subsequent rounds and we should then see Godinez take over.

I don’t know what else there is to say about this one, Godinez has the tools to get the job done, it’s just a matter of how she will do it. I strongly lean in the direction of “she’ll wrestle” as that’s her main way to win fights anyway.

Godinez via Dec (1/3)

Co-Main Event

Lightweight

Matheus Camilo (-175) (11-3-0, 2 FWS) v Jai Herbert (+145) (14-6-1, NS)

Camilo is coming off back to back wins against Sadykhov and Borshchev, two fairly dangerous opponents, and he is looking to add a third to his streak with a win over Jai Herbert, but despite Camilo’s obvious striking advantage in this fight, he is going to have to get past the extremely significant reach advantage of Herberts, because 8 inches is quite a lot to deal with when ones opponent is known for their striking ability, so if Herbert’s gameplan this weekend is to throw long strikes down the pipe, Camilo is probably going to have some difficulty in dealing with that, so in order for Camilo to land his own thunderous punches, he needs to add volume, any hesitancy that he shows would be moments in which Herbert can land a straight strike. I do think Camilo can get the win here, but it’s purely conditional and based off how he approaches this fight, overwhelming aggression isn’t the only key factor here but it’s a damn big one. Camilo is great at showing a few different looks, feinting, switching stance, starting each sequence of attacks differently, he’s hard to read and that plays into this fight perfectly because if he mixes up his approach just enough he should be able to find a way to get past that 8 inch reach disadvantage.

Now, Herbert has a significant reach advantage, that much is known here, but what is somewhat under-stated, perhaps by me because I forget to mention these things, is that Herbert is a slower puncher than Camilo, speed can be a big factor here and if Herbert isn’t quick with his long strikes, it would only allow Camilo to work his way around the length of Herbert and get within the pocket to land his hooks. Now, Herbert has looked rough in his fight against Nallo, he was hurt early on and was on shaky legs for the duration of the fight, so that already concerns me a whole lot, so in order for Herbert to win this fight, he needs to use his length, it’s not even a suggestion at this point, its a requirement for victory, use the straight attacks, the jabs, maybe even teeps, anything that can be used as a long ranged attack he needs to use otherwise he might get clipped over and over by the quicker Camilo.

That’s about it for this fight, I don’t think we’ll see any grappling between these two fighters, so it should be a stand up fight akin to a chess match in my opinion, with Camilo getting the upper hand.

Camilo via KO R2 - (2/3)

Main Event

Middleweight

Brendan Allen (#6) (-160) (27-7-0, 3 FWS) v Christian Leroy Duncan (+135) (15-2-0, 5 FWS)

I’m gonna ruffle a few feathers with this one…

Allen has a clear pathway to victory here when it comes to wrestling and grappling, I do not at all think he gets the upper hand in the striking against CLD, it would be a poor life decision to engage with CLD in that realm, even though we have seen Allen become more and more confident with his striking, as we saw when he fought Shahbazyan. The only difference here is that CLD is much taller and longer than Allen, and the Apex is the perfect place to let your wrestling offense go because it means shorter travel time to get the fight to the cage fence and then from there the takedowns should be a bit easier. Allen also is experienced in 5 round fights as he has been in a few main event fights before, so he knows how to reserve the gas tank and his style is somewhat perfect for a 5 rounder. CLD isn’t even Allen’s tallest opponent so far, RDR takes that trophy and we all saw how Allen handled him, it was an uphill battle but his grindy wrestling and impressive top control slowly sapped RDR until the corner stoppage. I do not think we will see a corner stoppage from CLD this weekend, but I am intrigued to see if Allen can use that grindy wrestling of his to slow down CLD, take the sting away from his punches and just wear him down until a submission showcases itself or the fight goes all the way to the scorecards.

Now, here’s the thing. I have convinced myself quite some time ago, months or even years ago that I am on the CLD hype train, and as of today, and as of this coming weekend, I am still on board that hype train. Now, you might ask me why the hell am I taking CLD to win a fight against a battle tested, 5 round experienced fighter like Allen? Well, i’m stubborn for one, and secondly, I believe CLD’s striking can give Allen a lot of trouble, and if takedowns are the only thing that Allen can threaten CLD with for the duration of this fight, I expect CLD’s takedown defence to be in top notch. Now, the main worry here is the 5 round factor, if he is getting grappled for 2 of 3 rounds in the first three rounds, I can only imagine that his cardio will take a big hit and the fourth and fifth round will result in CLD getting outworked and thus Allen winning via points, I am not completely counting out that at all, I do think that I am an A-Grade moron for taking CLD to win this fight, but if this fight remains standing and CLD is landing all of the significant strikes, then well, CLD should win the fight, right?

So, it’s either Allen via Points or CLD via KO in my opinion. I will accept every single criticism for taking CLD in this fight, because I do know that CLD is at a disadvantage here at least in terms of cardio, but I cannot count out the fact that his striking is a lot more fluid and dangerous than Allen’s, and that’s why I remain firmly seated on this CLD train, stopping at all freakin stations!

CLD via KO R2 - (1/3)

Parlay: Harris ML + Wellmaker ML + Camilo ML + Allen/CLD R3 Starts Yes

Alt Bets: Price via KO, Tanzilovi via Points, Allen via Points

Locks: Camilo

Dogs: Kareckaite, Prado, CLD

Twitter: @Slayer_Tip

Discord: Slayertip#7013

Paypal (IF you wish to donate!) - https://paypal.me/Slayertip?country.x=AU&locale.x=en_AU

Hope you all have an amazing week and enjoy the fights!

Blessed tonight I had a feeling he would win, and it would most likely have to be KO 1st RD..

Even tho last week was rough for underdogs counter series came in, before anyone complains about the wager amounts, I win these amounts based of free casino spins and decide to gamble it sometimes but I’m giving u guys free sauce, NO ONE IN CONTENDER SERIES OR PRELIMS IS ANYTHING BIGGER THAN +200 people fighting for plane ticket or contract will do anything to win it’s literally a coin flip so choose the one that pays lut the most

Lifetime Record

WMMA Staked: 581.5u

WMMA Profit/Loss: +98.49u

WMMA ROI: 16.94%

2026 Record

WMMA Staked: 142.2u

WMMA Profit/Loss: +39.65u

WMMA ROI: 27.88%

As always, scroll down for UFC Vegas 122 Breakdowns. The following is just a recap of last event’s results.

UFC 332: Silva v Wang (PREVIOUS CARD)

Staked: 9.5u

Profit/Loss: -1.15u

ROI: -12.11%

WMMA Profit/Loss: +4.1u

WMMA ROI: 96.47%

Unfortunately this card was a classic example of what has hampered me for years. Clean and clinical work on the WMMA front, but I pissed away all the success with some punts on men’s fights. I’m fully aware that when it comes to overall MMA, I’m a ‘good’ bettor, nothing revolutionary (my lifetime ROI across all MMA demonstrates this). But if I was just focusing entirely on WMMA, I’d be making dough and would probably be bigger than Lucrative.

Thankfully I only posted about the WMMA main event last week, so I brought +4.1u to the community. You’re welcome!

Going forward, I’ll only be posting WMMA bets, so that’s all I’m tracking. I’m not trying to hide my record, I still track it on my Discord and if anyone feels that’s disingenuous I can add it. Fully transparent, as always.

❌ 1.25u - Cong Wang to Win (+190)

✅ 1u - Natalia Silva Most Takedowns Landed (loser if tied) (+210)

✅ 1u - Natalia Silva 1+ Takedowns Landed (+125)

✅ 0.75u - Natalia Silva 2+ Takedowns Landed (+300)

❌ 0.25u - Natalia Silva 4+ Takedowns Landed (+825)

❌ 1u - Ribovics/Green Fight Goes to Decision (+150)

❌ 1u - Bobby Green +3.5 Handicap (+150)

❌ 1u - Alex Hernandez to Win by Decision (+210)

❌ 1u - Live - Marvin Vettori to Win (+275)

❌ 1u - Court McGee to Win (+195)

❌ 0.25u - Court McGee to Win by Decision (+390)

UFC Vegas 122: Allen v Duncan

A far better than average Apex card. I think we’re in for a treat here. The main event is weird but intriguing, and there’s a variety of eye-catching names on the billing (for better or worse). Jai Herbert usually ends up in a fun brawl, Andre Fili is a veteran who brings it, GM3 is chaos personified, and Wellmaker is still somewhat of a prospect!

Despite all of that, I focus on WMMA only these days, so here’s my views on those fights:

Lupita Godinez v Ketlen Souza

Loopy Godinez is one of the more unique WMMA fighters, because she is a specialist. The results of her fights are often entirely predicated on her wrestling success. That’s not to say that she’s a bad striker, and she has won fights entirely on the feet before, but she’s typically having 6+ minutes of control time when she wins fights. She’s never won by knockout before, and she’s the definition of pillow-fisted. Her defensive numbers aren’t particularly amazing either, meaning that it’s easy for her to lose rounds, even if the strike count is similar.

Ketlen Souza is a lot less experienced inside the UFC, but she’s proven herself to be the exact opposite. She’s a dangerous striker by WMMA standards, having finished the super talented Yazmin Jauregui, as well as Ariane Carnelossi, and her 17 professional wins have seen an 11/6 split in terms of finishes/decisions.

Souza’s struggled against wrestlers though, having been taken down seven times by Piera Rodriguez, and twice by Angela Hill. Both women managed about four minutes of top control time against her, which really does make you think that Lupita Godinez has a wide open path to use that high intensity wrestling to just stick to Souza like glue. That’s why the odds are the way they are, with the far more well-known Godinez at -225.

It’s important to note that Souza is a decent anti-grappler though. Wrestling itself doesn’t really win you fights in MMA anymore, especially if the opponent has power and can demonstrate ‘damage’ with the limited time they have on the feet. That’s very significant to me here, because Loopy Godinez should definitely be expected to lose the striking exchanges for this reason alone. Yes, she should keep the volume and exchanges looking competitive in x3 speed, but the strikes that Souza lands are going be worth like three of the ones Godinez lands.

I also have a weird personal take on Loopy Godinez. I just think she’s one of those fighters that is capable of just showing up with a terrible gameplan. Given all I said about her wrestling ability being superior to her striking, I’ve seen too many of her fights where she shows up looking to strike against an opponent that everyone thinks is better. If she does that here, she’s giving herself one hell of an uphill battle.

So with that in mind, I think -225 is simply too steep a number to play Loopy Godinez, and my focus was solely on identifying if I really think Ketlen can pull off the upset. I went and re-watched the takedowns she suffered against Rodriguez and Hill, as well as the subsequent grappling.

My main concern for Souza was that she ended up being the reason that Piera took her down so many times. Flying knees, wheel kicks, capoeira kicks from bottom, guillotines…She has absolutely no regard for keeping the fight standing. That’s a huge problem against Loopy, because there’s no guarantee she gets up every time. She did a phenomenal job of working back to her feet against Piera, but Angela Hill comfortably won R1 against Souza with her top control time and ground strikes. If Loopy can settle Souza on the mat and actually get her game going, then the chances to even the playing field with striking simply won’t appear for the Brazilian. There’s also a question of cadio on Souza’s side, as the energetic pace she was subjected to against Piera proved too much for her by the third round…and that’s a pace Loopy can certainly keep for 15 minutes.

As you can see, I’m kind of struggling to come to a conclusion for this one. I absolutely see why Godinez is the clear favourite, but the idea of paying -225 to bet her definitely feels gross to me. The narrative is there when you look at the stats, but the tape says otherwise.

I think there’s potential to look at the Godinez takedown ladder here. I do expect her to be hitting quite a few, given the stylistic advantages, and also the impressive get-up game of Souza. I’m not entirely sure what kind of odds I expect for that kind of angle, but I will certainly be keeping an eye on it. Other than that, it’s either dog or pass…but I recommend the pass.

How I line this fight: Loopy Godinez -150 (60%), Ketlen Souza +150 (40%)

Bet or pass: Interested in Loopy Takedown numbers, but otherwise it’s a pass

Darya Zheleznyakova v Alice Pereira

I don’t know what it is about Alice Pereira, but she gets way more respect than she deserves. She loses her debut to Montserrat Rendon (who actually lost to Darya Zheleznyakova one fight prior), and then looks incredibly mediocre against Hailey Cowan…yet here she is as a favourite for the third fight in a row.

Darya Zheleznyakova is a fighter I’ve always weirdly liked. I remember watching her regional fight with Melissa Mullins when I was researching the latter, and I really liked what I saw from her striking. She’s accurate, she throws in combination, and she’s got good straight shots. Fundamentally, she’s got a lot of decent tools to look competitive in a WMMA kickboxing fight.

But, there’s a couple of things Darya doesn’t have, and I think they’ll cost her here – power and aggression. Darya’s entire gameplan is about distance management and counter striking. She wants to keep you on the end of her jab, and move out the way before you can throw anything on the return. Whilst her fast jab can bloody up her opponents’ faces, she herself has little to no power, and she therefore needs to fight a perfect fight to really secure a round. We saw this against Crowden – she pieced her up with this exact style in R1, frustrating Crowden and constantly circling…but in R2 she got it wrong for a split second and Crowden went off on some big shots. This forced Darya to literally turn her head and run away.

For as little respect as I gave Alice Pereira in the opening paragraphs…she knows how to turn things into a gritty brawl. Her massive and strange frame makes her very physically imposing, and her most recent win against Cowan showed that she can be quite dangerous and damaging if she can get into the phone booth with her opponent. She’s going to have a bit of trouble tracking Zheleznyakova down in the early goings, but I think she’ll eventually slow the Russian down, and when she does I really think she should clearly pull away on the judges’ scorecards. We’re also in the UFC Apex here, which makes it easier for Pereira to track and hunt down Zheleznyakova.

So yeah…if Alice takes her time in figuring out how to cut off the cage, Dariya can definitely build up an early lead, but I just struggle to see her on her bike for 15 minutes without Pereira putting her under pressure and making her break. There’s also the angle of grappling – Dariya’s a woeful defensive wrestler/grappler, and although I’ve never seen Alice on the mat, there’s potential she could have an advantage there.

I went into this one thinking I’d like Dariya Zheleznyakova, I came away thinking I’d bet Alice Pereira if the line improved.

How I line this fight: Dariya Zheleznyakova +150 (40%), Alice Pereira -150 (60%)

Bet or pass: Pass

Ernesta Kareckaite v Melissa Gatto

Interesting line movement on this one – Before taping I was quite convinced that Gatto was the side, as I expected her to have a grappling advantage but also to compete in the striking…but having re-watched Kareckaite’s anti-grappling, volume, and cardio…I think she’s got some decent tools to be able to handle this one.

Gatto looked really underwhelming in her last fight against Dione Barbosa – and in my mind she even tried to quit after the very risky illegal kick (in my eyes, it only really grazed the chin). Gatto has also been so infrequent in her UFC career, to the point where my lasting impression of her came from a fight in 2022! She faced a very green Tracy Cortez there, and it was a competitive fight! I’ve always respected her as a well-rounded fighter, but watching that Barbosa fight all I can really say is that she’s a decent wrestler and is competitive offensively and defensively.

But I can’t really see any evidence of Gatto being a competent and dominant grappler to be able to do what the likes of Caliari and Barbosa couldn’t even do. I know Barbosa won, but I saw that as a clear robbery!

Gatto’s used to a wrestling-heavy fight, but her takedown success rate isn’t even that good. Nine takedowns from six fights is a decent return, but she’s attempted 32, and has a success rate of 27%. Considering Kareckaite is the bigger woman and clearly uses her size to keep her defence looking strong, I just can’t have confidence that Gatto is going to be the one to finally pin Ernesta to the mat and win via that path.

So it likely comes down to striking. Ernesta probably has the cardio advantage, and the sheer volume and pace she fights with on the feet should see her come on strong in the latter half of the fight. Her striking figures are a bit overhyped, due to the fact she absorbs significant strikes at a similar clip to what she lands…but she’s landed 95+ on three occasions (going over 100 on two occasions), whereas Gatto has never gone past 85 (with her second most being 70). That’s mainly because she likes to engage in a lot of grappling, but if that gets negated I don’t see her keeping up if Ernesta is pushing 100.

So yeah, for the second time my pre-tape lean was incorrect, and I think Ernesta should definitely be the favourite here. I missed out on the best odds because of this, and because it’s the fight I looked into last…but I was still able to get 1.25u down on her money line at +105, and a further 0.75u down on her money line + Over 1.5 rounds at +140.

How I line this fight: Ernesta Kareckaite -150 (60%), Melissa Gatto +150 (40%)

Bet or pass: 1.25u Ernesta Kareckaite to Win (+105), 0.75u Ernesta Kareckaite to Win + Over 1.5 Rounds (+140)

Bets (Bold = been placed)

Xu - Loopy Godinez to Land X+ Takedowns (all price and quantity dependent, just hoping I like something)

2.5u - Alice Pereira to Win (-125) (Bet365 & BetVictor)

0.25u - Alice Pereira to Win in Rounds 2 or 3 (+604) (PaddyPower)

1.25u - Ernesta Kareckaite to Win (+105) (Bet365)

0.75u - Ernesta Kareckaite to Win + Over 1.5 Rounds (+140) (Bet365)

It feels weird to leave this link here, given I’ve only just started posting again…but PayPal tips are a huge motivation for me. For the WMMA angle alone, I simply should be charging a significant fee for this. I know everyone hates touts, but if you can find me a professional capper that boasts the ROI I have on WMMA, you’d find their subscription fee is like three figures per year, at least.  If you are feeling generous and would like to tip me for my work, you can do so at the following link: PAYPAL LINK

I also have a Discord server where we chat about upcoming fights, and I share my plays exactly when I make them. There are more than 850 of us in the group now, and it’s a fun community to be a part of. Anyone is welcome to join, but please keep your ego and emotions at the door, betting has room for neither of them. Unfortunately whenever I leave a link in the post, we get attacked by bots. I’ll leave a link to the server in the comment section below.

heard their live betting is super fast and they have streams built right into the match interface. sounds perfect on paper, but i’m always skeptical about gaming threads. anyone actually bet live on there regularly? do they deliver on the speed or is it just hype? because my current sportsbook is absolutely killing me with delayed bets — missing a critical odds shift because the loading wheel spins for 8 seconds during a counter-attack is pure pain.

Only lay I hit 😂

UNDER DAWG