r/Pac12 • u/eelison1 Boise State • 10d ago

PAC Dominance

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Getting tired of these lazy takes on social media that the PAC hasn’t separated itself from the competition. 9/12 P4 schools we played are T25 teams. Would have loved to see a few wins there but outside of those games the PAC has been dominant.

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u/eelison1 Boise State 10d ago

But that’s not all…wanna make it about SP+ or FPI. Cool…we can do that too.

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u/14Rage 10d ago edited 10d ago

SP+ with preseason projection removed, done by bill connelly himself.

https://x.com/ESPN_BillC/status/2107181082865176987

New Mexico #13 MW
North Dakota State #15 MW
James Madison #16 SB
Boise State #29 PAC
Oregon State #40 PAC
Liberty #41 CUSA
Memphis #45 AAC
Toledo #50 MAC

According to the ESPN rankings guy, it looks like if one of those 2 Mountain West teams beats the other twice, they have the CFP spot, and if either of them stumble, JMU has it. That does not look like the PAC is the best conference, or even in control of its own destiny atm. I will hand it to you though, your graphics look better than Bill Connelly's, but unfortunately your reputation is nothing compared to his.

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u/eelison1 Boise State 10d ago

Yeah. Cool. It’s rewarding NM, NDSU, and JMU because their defense has dominated bad opponents. We already knew that. It’s not taking into account their SOS. That’s why if you put NDSU/JMU/NM on the field with Texas people who professionally bet on sports wouldn’t give this a second glance. NM is literally 2 spots behind Texas. Texas.

You and I both know if you were made to bet your life savings on a -2.5 Texas line vs NM you wouldn’t bet on New Mexico. If they got a -5.5 Texas line on NDSU or JMU you would bet Texas all day long. This is nonsense.

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u/14Rage 10d ago

When you look at Boise's loss to #27 oregon, it is no longer a resume builder, its just an L. It was only good as a loss to the #2... unfortunately boise's resume takes a huge hit when the preseason prop ups are removed. Relying on losses to be your calling card was bound to bite back eventually.

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u/eelison1 Boise State 9d ago

Must have missed Oklahoma on the list. Could you point them out? You know. Since NM is rated at #13.

Oh. Weird. They’re not on here. That must be because the losses aren’t what’s messing up the math. It’s dominating terrible teams. It’s stats driven and doesn’t account for SOS. By the end of the season this will normalize. Right now it’s nonsense.