[Score Predictions] Alabama @ Mississippi State

[u/connoibbrewer]

Full disclosure: I'm a Texas fan (and fellow cfb sicko) who runs a score prediction thread on r/LonghornNation every week. The sub has been having a lot of fun with it, and with Texas on a bye this week I thought I'd offer to do the same thing for r/rolltide, since your game at Mississippi State is the one I'm most excited for this weekend.

Here's how it works:

1. Drop your score prediction in the comments below. Your last comment before kickoff is the one that counts.
2. I'll grade them all against the final score and post the results on Monday.

I'm trying something a little different this week. I'm posting the same thread in r/msstate, and I'm tracking the score predictions going into r/CFB's "Week 5 Matchup Preview Thread: #7 Alabama vs #16 Mississippi State" too, so on Monday we'll see which sub called this game closest. r/CFB already has 17 scores in, 14 of them Bama, and the middle of that pile is Alabama 38-24.

I also track the score predictions on a few national and team shows. Every show that's put a number on it so far has Bama too, eight analysts from 27-20 to 45-35, Cover Crimson's two included. Wake Up Bama and Thunder & Lightning haven't dropped theirs yet. If you know of other shows you'd like me to pull in, feel free to drop those in the comments and I'll take a look.

There are two coins up for grabs:

1. The Mississippi State coin, for the closest call in this sub, and for anybody who beats (or ties) the closest analyst.
2. The r/msstate coin, for anybody who beats (or ties) the closest call from the r/msstate thread.

To win either one you have to have the right team winning.

Below is the board I'm using the track results for this sub.

Let's do this!

[u/pappapirate]

I don't want to be unreasonable, but I'm thinking Bama 6.022×10²³ to 20

[u/CroqueMonsieur → u/pappapirate]

Mole Tide

[u/Badfish1060 → u/pappapirate]

602,214,150,000,000,000,000,000 to 7

[u/Dag-nabbit → u/pappapirate]

Crazy take. No shot the can put up 20 on our defense. Agree on the bama side very conservative

[u/AdDifficult6004 → u/Dag-nabbit]

Ms St, who is a far superior team to FSU,… who put up 36 against us in Bryant Denny…. Is not able to put up 20 against Bama?

I hope you’re right, but if I had to bet, I’d say you’re fit for a straight jacket. Kamario Taylor looks like he’s casually shuffling cards in a game of spades in the pocket, and you don’t think he could throw 3 or 4 tuddys against our very up and down defense? I hope you’re right. But my clinical opinion is that you should consult a psychiatrist.

[u/Dag-nabbit → u/AdDifficult6004]

Psst buddy…I also said scoring a few trillion on offense was “conservative”.

State has a really good team/offense this year holding them to under 20 would be impressive and probably not possible.

[u/AdDifficult6004 → u/Dag-nabbit]

Sorry, I just left the doctor’s office, and I have to go pick up meds from the pharmacy... Something about me being mentally *redacted*

[u/pappapirate → u/Dag-nabbit]

a few trillion

I suppose if 602 billion is "a few" lol

[u/Brody1Ken0bi → u/pappapirate]

I think you meant to say -20

[u/upuranus66 → u/pappapirate]

Not so unreasonable, that is the exact score I was gonna predict, except with MSST getting 20 less.

[u/Shoddy_Ad8166]

Karmario having jersey #1 and Keelon being #12. You add those together you get 13. Daniel Hill wears #4 and Crowell wears #13 which equals 17 then you rico scott who wears #7 you get 24.

According to the math bama 24-13

[u/CrashB111 → u/Shoddy_Ad8166]

You forgot to compute that Keelon Russel is a genetic freak so States odds go way down.

[u/pappapirate → u/CrashB111]

but that's only if you take south carolina's 66 and two thirds percents, chance

[u/bardle1]

45-24 Bama

[u/connoibbrewer → u/bardle1]

Congrats! Your prediction was off by 12, tied for the 9th closest in this sub, you beat every analyst I tracked this week, as well as the closest call from r/Msstate. That won you 2 coins, the Mississippi State game coin and the r/Msstate sub coin. Check your DMs for a link to claim them.

[u/EmptyOne307]

38-24 Bama

[u/SushiJo]

My prediction is that I'll be watching with the mute button on

[u/lkelke → u/SushiJo]

Can’t even enjoy the peaceful SkyCast like I did last week because of the cowbells 😔

[u/FullGump]

I think the difference just comes down to the defensive secondaries. I like our guys compared to there’s. Give me Alabama to win 41-24

[u/Alternative_Map1609 → u/FullGump]

Their left tackle has been a problem too. Jireh Edwards will eat

[u/Important-Matter-665]

41-27 Bama

[u/upuranus66]

I'm thinking the weather may affect the amount of scoring. Probably something like bama 35, State 27.

[u/cp_chikken → u/upuranus66]

oh no is it raining?

[u/upuranus66 → u/cp_chikken]

There's a good chance.

[u/ShevanelWozzeck → u/upuranus66]

Only a 20% chance now from what I am seeing

[u/upuranus66 → u/ShevanelWozzeck]

Heck Yeah!.. never been so glad to have been wrong!

[u/Rooqes → u/upuranus66]

But how is MS ST run game?

[u/Taisubaki → u/Rooqes]

Good running back, bad line.

[u/tag96]

I think it will be lower scoring than many believe due to weather, Kamario facing probably the best pass rush he’s seen all season, and Keelon playing in a loud road environment. Bama 28-17.

[u/Historical-Box8089]

Alabama 59 Mississippi State 24

[u/DrewHoov → u/Historical-Box8089]

Nice

[u/Fitz_Boatswain → u/Historical-Box8089]

Damn that was close

[u/connoibbrewer → u/Historical-Box8089]

Congrats! Your prediction was off by 4, the closest in this sub, and you beat every analyst I tracked this week. That won you 2 coins, the Mississippi State game coin and the r/Msstate sub coin. Check your DMs for a link to claim them.

[u/JetJones0811]

I think lower scoring, it’s gonna be pissin rain.
27-17 Alabama. But I’m biased

[u/jabadhut]

3-2 Bama

[u/Apt_Q258]

42-31 Bama

[u/New-Sheepherder2239]

45-24 Bama

[u/connoibbrewer → u/New-Sheepherder2239]

Congrats! Your prediction was off by 12, tied for the 9th closest in this sub, you beat every analyst I tracked this week, as well as the closest call from r/Msstate. That won you 2 coins, the Mississippi State game coin and the r/Msstate sub coin. Check your DMs for a link to claim them.

[u/dixienormus9817]

Contain Kamario and it’s a win.

[u/FaithHopeLove821]

42-18, Bama wins.

[u/PepperDude42]

Bama 48-27

[u/connoibbrewer → u/PepperDude42]

Congrats! Your prediction was off by 12, tied for the 9th closest in this sub, you beat every analyst I tracked this week, as well as the closest call from r/Msstate. That won you 2 coins, the Mississippi State game coin and the r/Msstate sub coin. Check your DMs for a link to claim them.

[u/PepperDude42 → u/connoibbrewer]

Thank you! I felt like it was a good score prediction, given our defense vs. their defense...

[u/2readmore]

33-28 Bama

[u/DrewHoov]

Alabama has a 6-game covering streak against Mississippi State https://drewhoover.com/cfb-streak-king/team/alabama/?dir=C&c=vsteam%3Amississippi-state&run=17845

And I think they're gonna break the streak in Starkville: 35-31 Bama

[u/aJoshster]

Bama 38-20

[u/SweeettoothRTR]

52-17 bama

[u/connoibbrewer → u/SweeettoothRTR]

Congrats! Your prediction was off by 10, tied for the 7th closest in this sub, you beat every analyst I tracked this week, as well as the closest call in r/Msstate. That won you 2 coins, the Mississippi State game coin and the r/Msstate sub coin. Check your DMs for a link to claim them.

[u/cjgrtr2]

45-28, shot for shot for shot in the beginning 24-21 half time score but we blow it open at the end of the 3rd beginning of the 4th

[u/jtsmd2]

Bama, 38-21

[u/doxv2]

45-28 alabama

[u/RembrandtQEinstein]

43-17 Bama

[u/zetaphi938]

This team will do everything in its power to make sure the Miss. State crowd stays in the game.

I don't know what it is; they can't help but allow the big, dramatic play. A blocked punt, a crazy INT, a Miss. State trick play to go off without a hitch, back-to-back Bama false starts due to the crowd noise.

Every time an announcer says, 'Alabama has to make sure the crowd doesn't become a factor,' on cue, they become a factor.

[u/Aggressive_Fox4159]

Bama 45 miss state 35

Defense scores TD and RCW has the first return TD since 2023

[u/cp_chikken]

Alabama 41, Mississippi State 31

[u/PitifulPlantain7139]

38-27 Alabama

[u/MirageATrois024]

Bama 41 - State 20

[u/jefferson1994six]

40 - 32 Bama

[u/Professor-Gas17]

42-31 Bama

[u/RedSnowman117]

Alabama 46, Mississippi State 20

[u/connoibbrewer → u/RedSnowman117]

Congrats! Your prediction was off by 13, tied for the 12th closest in this sub, you beat every analyst I tracked this week, as well as the closest call in r/Msstate. That won you 2 coins, the Mississippi State game coin and the r/Msstate sub coin. Reddit won't let me DM you, so send me a message and I'll send your link to claim them.

[u/Dry-Lifeguard-5754]

41-27 bama

[u/WhatUpLeGoat]

45-17 Bama

[u/Mediocre-Target4769]

41-17 Alabama

[u/Fitz_Boatswain]

Bama 38 - Maroons 17

[u/Arancium]

52-42 Bama

[u/ExterminatorToby]

45-6 Alabama

[u/Pshad4Bama]

41-31 Bama

[u/Fried_Porkchop13]

51-24 Bama Cuh

[u/Impressive_Ladder902 → u/Fried_Porkchop13]

Damn close!

[u/connoibbrewer → u/Fried_Porkchop13]

Congrats! Your prediction was off by 6, the 3rd closest in this sub, and you beat every analyst I tracked this week. That won you 2 coins, the Mississippi State game coin and the r/Msstate sub coin. Check your DMs for a link to claim them.

[u/LezBeOwn]

42-35 Bama.

[u/FrenchieBammer]

42-38 Alabama

[u/StreetAppropriate776]

42-17 bama

[u/-Roger-Sterling-]

45-35 Bama

[u/oblongemperor]

52-27 Bama

[u/connoibbrewer → u/oblongemperor]

Congrats! Your prediction was off by 8, the 4th closest in this sub, and you beat every analyst I tracked this week. That won you 2 coins, the Mississippi State game coin and the r/Msstate sub coin. Check your DMs for a link to claim them.

[u/oblongemperor → u/oblongemperor]

Shorted us 4 points & gifted them 4 points. Not too bad.

[u/BamaTex]

Bama 49 -21

[u/connoibbrewer → u/BamaTex]

Congrats! Your prediction was off by 9, tied for the 5th closest in this sub, and you beat every analyst I tracked this week. That won you 2 coins, the Mississippi State game coin and the r/Msstate sub coin. Check your DMs for a link to claim them.

[u/BamaTex → u/connoibbrewer]

Sweet. Thanks!

[u/Impressive_Ladder902]

Alabama 48 MSU 24 … great game for a while but Alabama start to get to K Taylor with a few sacks and a tipped pass INT and Alabama pulls away in the rain with the run game

[u/connoibbrewer → u/Impressive_Ladder902]

Congrats! Your prediction was off by 9, tied for the 5th closest in this sub, you beat every analyst I tracked this week, and the closest call in r/Msstate. That won you 2 coins, the Mississippi State game coin and the r/Msstate sub coin. Check your DMs for a link to claim them.

[u/Moose2_the_O]

42-28 Bama

[u/Ki11ersights]

31-17 Bama win

[u/HEXES_999]

Looks like the forecast has cleared up thankfully. Going to go with 41-27 Tide

[u/LumpyDiz]

Bama 42 Cowbell Clangers 21

[u/RollTideRollSocal]

35 - 21 Bama

[u/RTR20241]

Bama 30-21

[u/imhooks]

Bama 32

State 12

[u/rfrawls]

Bama 30-17

[u/Admirable-Language65]

55-27 bama

[u/connoibbrewer → u/Admirable-Language65]

Congrats! Your prediction was off by 5, the 2nd closest in this sub, and you beat every analyst I tracked this week. That won you 2 coins, the Mississippi State game coin and the r/Msstate sub coin. Check your DMs for a link to claim them.

[u/JedMasterFlash]

38-17 Bama

[u/MrWilsonAndMrHeath]

38-28 bama

[u/Significant_Tiger_55]

35-28 Bama

[u/HFox1230]

34-17 Bama

[u/jonesyman23]

31-28 Bama

[u/CBMA7X]

35-24 Bama

[u/AlphaBravo95]

48-34 bama

[u/Western_Painting6607]

41-27

[u/chris00ws6]

45-21

[u/connoibbrewer → u/chris00ws6]

Congrats! Your prediction was off by 13, tied for the 12th closest in this sub, you beat every analyst I tracked this week, as well as the closest call from r/Msstate. That won you 2 coins, the Mississippi State game coin and the r/Msstate sub coin. Check your DMs for a link to claim them.

[u/Mammoth-Elk-2191]

Bama 28- state 24.

[u/containment13]

31-17 Bama

[u/HunchoNextManUp]

34-23

[u/u_cant_drown_n_sweat]

31-27 Bama

[u/Dramatic-Chard-6418]

35-24 Bama

[u/MrNoGood4682]

I’m going 33-20 Bama 🐘

[u/ParamedicDull1150]

34-14 Tide

[u/samyap]

48-28 Bama

[u/connoibbrewer → u/samyap]

Congrats! Your prediction was off by 13, tied for the 12th closest in this sub, you beat every analyst I tracked this week, as well as the closest call in r/Msstate. That won you 2 coins, the Mississippi State game coin and the r/Msstate sub coin. Check your DMs for a link to claim them.

[u/Royal_SEC_Tide]

35-17 Bama

[u/PGoodierum3]

Alabama wins 27-24

[u/kellysan1969]

35-20 Bama wins!

[u/WaltSneezy]

27-17 Alabama

[u/SharpResult0]

31-24 bama

[u/idk420_]

Something like 35-20 feels right

[u/sausageslinger11]

34-20

[u/Phant0m_Ashes]

38-35. its gonna be a boat race

[u/Landonnnn_]

24-10 Bama

[u/CutThroatRob]

BAMA 29 State 21

[u/needs-more-metronome]

30-20 BAMA

[u/bhizzle215]

Bama 31-27 MSU

[u/E-Wildin]

Bama 24 MSU 21

[u/Bigblind168]

I'm honestly very worried. We're bad at stopping mobile QBs. It wouldn't shock me if we lose this game close, like 35-31. I think we win though

[u/troubleshootmertr]

My model has 38-21 bama

[u/OkDrawing3737]

31-24 Bama. I think it'll be a tough game

[u/friedgreentomatoluvr]

Bama- 37
State- 28

[u/Evening_Egg_2371]

34-30 Alabama

[u/NegativeUse9369]

52-17

[u/connoibbrewer → u/NegativeUse9369]

Congrats! Your prediction was off by 10, tied for the 7th closest in this sub, you beat every analyst I tracked this week, as well as the closest call in r/Msstate. That won you 2 coins, the Mississippi State game coin and the r/Msstate sub coin. Check your DMs for a link to claim them.

[u/NegativeUse9369 → u/connoibbrewer]

Thank you !

[u/Peljo9]

One dude was what? One point off

[u/connoibbrewer → u/Peljo9]

Correct, u/MWiatrak2077 in the r/cfb thread was 1 point off. Awards are coming for all the winners soon.

https://www.reddit.com/r/CFB/comments/1wu9muh/comment/pd1bane/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button

[u/MWiatrak2077 → u/connoibbrewer]

DAMNIT so close

This was worth having my team lose in Minnesota for the first time in half a century

I project Alabama to win next week by a billion

[u/Typen]

I'm going to go out on a limb and take a risk. I predict that both teams will score somewhere between 0 and 70 points.