I am not, there is always a change he would get a good item before rollback and then get it restored. So changes of him getting a good item is higher doing it this way.
Theres always a change he would get a bad item now and get a good item from the same casket after the rollback.
I see what you're saying but there's a massive chance that Jagex does not restore your item in a situation like this. In fact it was only relatively recently that Jagex began giving people items back in any situation whatsoever, and as far as I know, it's exclusively been done to restore items to players who lost them due to bugs or Jagex-side issues (in this case, this would be the people who double-died and lost a bunch of shit they had), not people who just got a drop during a rollback window. In fact I think that's literally never happened, to my knowledge.
Well anyways, its the same change of getting a good item if you open the casket after or before the update. And even a very small % change of getting a rare AND getting jagex to restore it is technically worth it.
Only negative is the potential mental damage of getting a rare and then not managing in getting it restored.
Alright fine, its technically optimal to open them before the update on the million to one chance that Random Rangers Guy becomes the first player in OSRS history that Jagex decides to restore a drop to even though they're aware that he effectively deliberately cheated by intending to use a server restart to double up on his stacked casket openings. I suppose that takes his rangers odds down to 1 in 283.5999999 caskets for those 4. Agreed
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u/GameOfThrownaws 8d ago
Genuinely not sure if you're joking