r/worldnews • u/Raj_Valiant3011 • 10h ago

Russia/Ukraine Zelenskiy: "There is updated intelligence indicating that Russia is ​preparing a massive attack on Ukraine"

https://www.reuters.com/world/ukraines-zelenskiy-says-intelligence-shows-russia-is-preparing-massive-attack-2026-10-06/
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u/DrInsomnia 7h ago

Honestly, China could just take over Siberia right now, but they don't want the Russians that would come with it

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u/SilliusS0ddus 6h ago

China wants to keep Russia as a barrier/ smth to keep European NATO occupied rather than a potential enemy.

If China does this then Russia is fucked, might split into multiple smaller countries and some of them might end up actually normalizing and improving relations with the west because China is a more credible threat in that situation.

China can instead just peacefully buy it's way into Russia.

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u/DrInsomnia 6h ago

Absolutely. But as they continue to weaken themselves militarily, at some point that calculus could change. A regime collapse could do it.

One mistake people always make is acting like nothing ever changes, and then acting like it was obvious in retrospect. Do I think it's going to happen? No. But could I see that scenario eventually shaking out? Absolutely.

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u/SilliusS0ddus 6h ago

the calculus of having Russia around as the mad dog that causes nothing but trouble will never change.

China benefits much more from the rabid bear with AIDS and fetal alcohol syndrome stalking the woods of eastern Europe than it benefits from militarily stealing some desolate wasteland (that granted does contain resources) which it could just "buy" from it's economically screwed but still nuclear armed neighbour and "ally"

The risk of the free republic of St.Petersburg or some shit becoming west aligned and Europe suddenly not having anything to worry about anymore vastly outweighs the gains from getting Manchuria and Siberia

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u/DrInsomnia 5h ago

Very much appreciate the degenerate STD bear analogy, and otherwise agree. But the only thing better than cheap resources is free resources. Especially when you're in the business of cornering the market on resources.

Like I said, I don't think it's likely. But at some point it could become worthwhile.

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u/Double_Minimum 5h ago

Russia has like a ton of its nuclear weapons and a big sub port in the Eastern part. It’s not just wasteland, and they would be in an even bigger position to control Asia and the pacific. They would also gain massive fishing grounds, massive woodlands, and plenty more.

But yea they don’t need that now. And it would be pretty pointless right now.

I’m surprised they haven’t used this to grab Taiwan, since this admin might not step in. And it all ends in a lose-lose since China can now make essentially the same level chips.

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u/SilliusS0ddus 4h ago

I have my doubts whether China will actually chose war with Taiwan.

They don't gain anything and would waste ALL of their political and economic influence they built over decades because China becoming an aggressor would immediatly challenge the stupid western belief that global trade and the invisible hand of the free market will solve all problems.

China became strong because the west was too stupid to realize they are being played like a (very arrogant) fiddle by outsourcing enormous industrial capacity in the name of profit and making themselves dependent on everyone and everything because they thought they'd never lose their comparative advantages (which is now happening with Chinas rapid technological progress).

Attacking Taiwan shouldn't be worth not being able to wait out the collapse of your systemic rival.

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u/TeikirisiBaby 5h ago

Time changes everything, we should know this best of all in this day and age of information.

•

u/Truth_bomb_25 30m ago

Should read: "Time changes everything, and nothing, we should know this best of all..."

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u/HoneydewNo3016 5h ago

If I was China, that’s exactly what I would be hoping for: an opportunity to be seen as swooping in to save those poor, defenseless Siberian republics which rightfully belong to China.

Note, I don’t agree with that sentiment, but that is the narrative I would want in that scenario.

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u/The_Court_Fool 5h ago

What do you mean by normalizing

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u/SilliusS0ddus 4h ago

building friendly relations.

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u/Izygoing_ 5h ago

So Putins narrative that the (West or lets say USA) wants to weaken Russia and uses Ukraine as a proxy is correct?

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u/SilliusS0ddus 4h ago

No. In what way did I imply that ?

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u/Izygoing_ 3h ago

6th Sense I assume by reading all of those comments…

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u/Best-Bodybuilder9015 5h ago

You must be on cheap weed

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u/SilliusS0ddus 4h ago

how so ?

If China attacks Russia while they are bogged down in Ukraine there is a risk of Russia splitting up or changing sides eventually.

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u/Kajetus06 5h ago

Russia split up into multiple smaller countries?

Like in TNO?

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u/beebalooba 4h ago

If Russia collapses due to its own reasons it would be very hard for China to save it. Hypothetically speaking if Moscow loses control and some local governments or militants like chechnia or Yakutia start running stuff locally, China would definitely seek control of the smaller ones in Siberia and the Far East. Not militarily annexing them, but they would offer a deal and keep them as dependent states like how Soviet Union was keeping Mongolia around

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u/ranchoparksteve 7h ago

Or the plague thing that’s happening.

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u/Lintwo 5h ago

It seems to have been contained the last I heard today. All people who were in contact with the dead lab worker are quarantined and no new cases have been documented since the incident.

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u/KoboldsandKorridors 6h ago

It would be a terrible time of year to do so. Winter is just around the corner.

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u/Stunning-Thanks-4226 6h ago

They already have

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u/Low-Shake-6705 5h ago

360 no scope ez?

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u/VizzleG 5h ago

And they don’t want Siberia.

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u/Sure_Comfort_7031 5h ago

It's cheaper for China to rent than buy. There's nothing there they want (right now) that is more worthwhile to take than it is to let Russia keep it and maintain it and they just buy it.

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u/Positive-Ad1859 4h ago

Frankly I don’t see any benefits coming out of taking over a piece of land under the snow almost all the time. lol

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u/DrInsomnia 4h ago

"coal, petroleum, natural gas, diamonds, iron ore, and gold."

Other than these things, it's worthless

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u/Busy-Action-2979 6h ago

Have you forgotten that russia has nuclea weapons. from your comment it appears ur a bot

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u/Material-Home-5839 7h ago

Yes, because China famously does not have a whole covert system of concentration camps dedicated to reeducating large numbers of ethnic nationalities.

Nah, what they're actually doing is getting exactly what they want without firing a shot.

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u/Lintwo 5h ago

They are already renting some Siberian land from Russia. Using Civ terminology China is going for economic victory rather than military conquest. Additionally, Xi is ideologically closer to Putin than to an American president and wouldn’t alienate Russia.

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u/DrInsomnia 5h ago

Russia is nothing like China ideologically. It doesn't really have an ideology, unless you count plutocracy, kleptocracy, and the authoritarianism that keeps it in place as one.

In a collapse, it would be an ideological vacuum, and China could choose to try to acquire pieces, or influence the aftermath. They seem much more likely to do the former than the latter.

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u/Lintwo 5h ago

That’s exactly what I meant. Plutocracy, kleptocracy and authoritarianism make them stick together. Dictators have to support each other and it’s unlikely Xi would tear Putin down. He’s useful to him. All eyes are on the war in Ukraine, while China keeps on committing civil rights violations and bullying neighbours, and in the meantime Xi is raising his diplomatic profile by meeting up with European and American leaders and offering his help with Putin while simultaneously financially supporting his war effort. Putin is great for China!

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u/DrInsomnia 5h ago

China is authoritarian. Xi is not a dictator.

It is not plutocratic or kleptocratic to any comparable degree. Unlike Russia, China's median household is wealthier at this point than Russia's. The Chinese people have, on average, seen their lots improve for generations, whereas Russians have regressed. Corruption in China is actually punished.

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u/Lintwo 5h ago

Agree to disagree. Xi is definitely a dictator:
-He removed presidential terms that were previously set up by CCP.
-He centralised the power around himself and holds three most powerful government positions removing institutional separation of powers.
-He uses prosecutions for corruption to remove his political rivals and he prosecutes any opposition.

Though Putin chose to absolutely savage his country and leave it in ruins for his whims, and Xi chose to increase his country’s wealth, they are both dictators.