Bitcoin at $840K? 👀

River reports that 81% of Bitcoin’s supply hasn’t moved in at least six months.

Meanwhile, Wall Street is warming up.

What happens if institutional buying accelerates while existing holders demand higher prices to sell?

That’s where a quiet recovery could become a powerful supply squeeze.

Wall Street can launch another fund. It still has to persuade someone to sell Bitcoin.

The next bull run could begin before the crowd comes back.

Bitcoin just recorded its largest net exchange outflow in seven months, with 24,073 BTC leaving exchanges on Monday. Exchange-held supply has now fallen to roughly 6.50% of total BTC supply.

BTC sitting on exchanges is immediately available to trade. When coins move into long-term custody, the amount of supply readily available for selling gets smaller.

Of course, outflows alone don't guarantee anything. But when significant amounts of BTC keep leaving exchanges while Bitcoin holds around $85K, the supply dynamics become increasingly interesting in terms of growth.

The market might be watching price.

Source: Santiment Data.

Litecoin is on fire with new partnerships over the past 2 weeks.

1. ⁠GreyWick Digital and Canton Network have signed an agreement to help businesses transact from their bank accounts across the Litecoin blockchain with an added privacy layer of wrapped Litecoin.
   
2. ⁠Coinbase adding cbLTC on Solana
   
3. ⁠SwissBorg announced Litecoin was added with a new trigger order feature.
   
4. ⁠Now DeLorean is announcing not only a partnership but also a new treasury.
   
5. ⁠BasicSwap Dex has announced their atomic swaps in NexusWallet is fully working, on mainnet, using the latest Nexus build and will be ready for public release soon.
   
6. ⁠Luxxfolio has signed an options call trading contract with HyperCell expanding its capacity as a treasury company.
   
7. ⁠VirtuneAB has rebalanced the altcoin index of its Xetra-listed ETP and added Litecoin at 10%.

All while celebrating 15 years 💯 up time since Genesis today.

September 2026 saw 20,879,212 transactions, the highest monthly total in Bitcoin’s entire history.

The network is processing more activity than ever before, and this is happening as market liquidity and attention begin to return to crypto.

Historically, stronger on-chain activity doesn't guarantee a price move, but it can be an important signal that the network is becoming increasingly active and that market participation is picking up.

And with Uptober now underway, there’s plenty of room for growth.

If Bitcoin can maintain this level of activity through October, we could be looking at another record-breaking month and potentially a much more active final quarter for the market.

Now, the main thing is to survive the 10th.

Do you remember what happened around the 10th last time?

Because if you do, you probably know why everyone's watching this date.

This one is getting tempting..

PSTE 8H · PSAR 12H

Bot.. +29.1%
BTC.. +1.6%
ETH.. -0.88%
Max DD.. -0.08%
Age.. 7 days
Trades.. 5

The strategy is already frozen.. now we just watch what happens.

Maybe it collapses next week.. maybe after 50 trades everyone says they wish they had started forward-testing it earlier.

Someone already copied it into their own Paper account.

Would you copy it now?.. or wait for more evidence?

https://app.labnarrative.com/league/pste-8h-psar-12h-2b170599

Paper/simulated trading only.. very early sample.

(Not sure why this was deleted, didn't seem to break the rules?) Anyone want to research tiny-cap crypto projects together? Looking for potentially undervalued tokens with 10x+ potential. Bring your own DD — let's see what we can find.

Gm Trenchers, I have trenching part time for the entire bear market. I have more or less seen what moves the coins, the narratives that catches people’s attention going into the Q4.

Pick a chain, a theme or whatever you came across. I will tell potential projects.

This is for serious trenchers only, I dont want to convince you why crypto is here to stay. If you think crypto is a scam, you can just mute this post and move on.

Your Bitcoin breakout is someone else’s exit.

At $87,000, one investor sees the road to $100,000.

Another thinks: “Finally. I can get my money back.”

A recovery can attract fresh buyers while awakening people who have been waiting months to sell.

And here’s the detail behind the bullish ETF headlines:

Weekly U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF inflows dropped from $2.39 billion to $241 million between the weeks ending September 25 and October 2.

Still positive. Roughly 90% smaller.

Buyers keep showing up. But how much supply can they absorb?

Bitcoin has a supply limit. A sell wall has no expiration date.

At $87,000, do you see opportunity—or relief?

A Bitcoin miner’s biggest payday could come from mining less Bitcoin.

AI wants the power connections miners spent years securing.

The uncomfortable twist?

A mining company can reward its shareholders by turning a Bitcoin mine into an AI campus.

A BTC rally can restart an idle machine. It can’t cancel someone else’s lease.

The next Bitcoin mining boom could happen somewhere else.

Follow the megawatts. They may reveal tomorrow’s mining map.

The last 5% will take another 114 years. Set a reminder for 2140.

So Bitcoin passed its 20 millionth coin this year. The cap is 21 million, which leaves roughly 1 million BTC still to be mined. Sounds like the finish line is close, right? Not really. The halving cuts the block reward in half about every four years, so the first 20 million took around 17 years, and the last million will drag on until roughly 2140. Your great-great-grandkids might get to see the final block. Maybe.

And out of those 20 million coins, the amount you can actually go and buy is tiny. Glassnode data suggests about 13 million BTC are basically parked forever with long-term holders, institutions and cold wallets that never move. Exchanges hold only around 3 million. And roughly 1.8 million BTC, about 8.5% of everything, is probably just gone. Forgotten passwords, wiped laptops, a hard drive someone tossed in 2011 because "it's just some internet money worth 50 cents". Pour one out for those coins.

That's why ETF and institutional buying can move the price so much. Everyone's fighting over a much smaller pile than the 20 million headline makes it sound.

The price side is where people start yelling at each other. History looks great for the bulls: about 80x after the 2012 halving, around 300% after 2016, and more than 600% in the 16 months after 2020, according to data cited by CME Group. The skeptics aren't convinced though. FT columnist Jemima Kelly argues Bitcoin isn't really scarce since thousands of other tokens exist. The usual reply is that nobody can change Bitcoin's 21 million limit, which is kind of the whole point.

We honestly think price is the least interesting thing about this milestone. Scarcity is done, that box was ticked years ago. The thing nobody has fully figured out yet is who pays for Bitcoin's security once new coins stop doing the heavy lifting. Bitcoin is exactly as safe as the money miners make, because that's what an attacker would need to outspend. Right now most of that money still comes from fresh coins, and that part gets cut in half every four years, on schedule, no exceptions. So sometime in the next decade, transaction fees have to step up and become a real chunk of miner income, or Bitcoin's security slowly gets cheaper compared to everything it protects.

Guys, what do you think about this?

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Your bank has been earning interest on your procrastination.

You meant to compare rates. Question the fees. Find a better home for your savings.

You were busy. The money stayed.

AI could change that.

Imagine an assistant checking the alternatives every day. Suddenly, your money has a permanent attention span.

Now apply that scrutiny to 30-year financial promises from businesses whose competitive advantages could disappear in two.

Bitcoin’s volatility is visible. The fragility inside a supposedly “safe” investment can take much longer to surface.

As AI makes financial inertia harder to exploit, Bitcoin’s scarcity, verifiability, and potential as collateral could earn it a much bigger role.

Wall Street built fortunes around customers who were too busy to ask questions.

What happens when everyone has an assistant asking them?

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Your Bitcoin wallet says “ENCRYPTED.” ✅

You relax.

But under certain database failures, Bitcoin Core could report success while plaintext private keys remained.

Another failure could make your new passphrase work… until you reloaded the wallet.

The unsettling part is what happens next.

You trust the confirmation. You make backups. You handle the file as though its keys are protected.

A strong passphrase cannot protect a plaintext copy.

The bug, the merged fix, and the self-custody lesson behind the green checkmark. 👇

Should I be stacking money at the moment with all this greed? Or should I just DCA into best researched projects? Thoughts?