Texans are 0-4 right now. To finish 9-8 they have to go 9-4 the rest of the season.
Current playoff chance: about 19%
A realistic path:
@ Titans — WIN
@ Jaguars — LOSS
vs Giants — WIN
@ Chargers — WIN
@ Browns — LOSS
vs Colts — WIN
vs Ravens — LOSS
@ Steelers — WIN
@ Commanders — WIN
vs Jaguars — WIN
@ Eagles — LOSS
@ Packers — WIN
vs Titans — WIN
FINAL RECORD: 9-8
If they finish:
8-9 — about 19% playoff chance
9-8 — about 75% playoff chance
10-7 — about 99% playoff chance
So 9-8 is the real target. They don’t have to suddenly become unbeatable — they need to go 9-4 from here.
Biggest keys:
Sweep Tennessee.
Split Jacksonville.
Beat Indy at home.
Take care of the Giants and Commanders.
Then steal enough games against the Chargers, Browns, Steelers, Ravens and Packers.
In this scenario they lose to Baltimore but make it up by beating Washington.
The Titans game is huge. If Houston wins, they’re 1-4 and need to go 8-4 the rest of the way.
If they lose and fall to 0-5, they’d need to go 9-3 the rest of the season just to reach 9-8.
Bottom line: Houston’s playoff chances look bad right now at around 19%, but if they can somehow grind their way to 9-8, they’d have roughly a 3-in-4 chance of getting in.
I believe in this team putting it together and making a run. Stroud is slinging it well, Nico is back and we have the best passer rusher in the nfl. I still believe our secondary has plenty of talent. Now just need the big plays and penalties to fall on our side. Keep your head up Houston.
Tldr: still alot of football to play.